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Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 vs Cuautla Prediction & H2H Stats

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie B 2021/2022
Fri, Jan 14, 2022
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 host Cuautla in the Liga Premier Serie B 2021/2022. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 at 1.94 goals for, 1.06 against; Cuautla at 2.44 for, 1.06 against. Past meetings favor Cuautla slightly — 0-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 6, 2022, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.67 - 0.88) back Cuautla to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
20%
Draws
52%
Cuautla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cuautla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 come out ahead of Cuautla on wins alone.
  • Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Cuautla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 Cuautla
Matches Played 32 16
Wins 19 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 1
Goals Scored 1.94 2.44
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2022 Liga Premier Serie B
Cuautla vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
0:0
Jan 14, 2022 Liga Premier Serie B
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 vs Cuautla
0:0
Oct 29, 2021 Liga Premier Serie B
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 vs Cuautla
1:1
Sep 19, 2021 Liga Premier Serie B
Cuautla vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 67 / 100
Cuautla 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 Cuautla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Cuautla let in goals in 69% of their last 16 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2

(Home)
07 May
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 3
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
01 May
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
2 : 0
Calor De San Pedro
22 Apr
Tho Mayas
1 : 3
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
16 Apr
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
3 : 3
Tho Mayas
08 Apr
Calor De San Pedro
3 : 2
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
Page 1 of 7

Cuautla

(Away)
05 Dec
Cuautla
4 : 1
Ciervos
01 Dec
Guerreros De Xico
0 : 3
Cuautla
28 Nov
Huracanes Izcalli
1 : 4
Cuautla
21 Nov
Cuautla
1 : 1
Lobos Huerta
14 Nov
Cuautla
3 : 0
Guerreros De Xico
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aguacateros CD Uruapan 12 9 1 2 41:12 31
2 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 12 7 3 2 30:12 27
3 Huracanes Izcalli 12 8 2 2 26:18 27
4 Calor De San Pedro 12 7 3 2 26:8 26
5 Lobos Huerta 12 3 0 9 14:30 9
6 Ciervos 12 2 2 8 12:32 9
7 Guerreros De Xico 12 0 1 11 2:39 1
8 Cuautla 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie B 2021/2022 (Clausura - Play Offs)