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Alemannia Aachen vs Jena

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alemannia Aachen play Jena in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Alemannia Aachen averaged 2.37 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. Jena averaged 2.36 goals scored and 1.54 conceded. In past meetings, Alemannia Aachen won 2, Jena won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 6, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Alemannia Aachen and 2.56 for Jena. This points to a Alemannia Aachen double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Alemannia Aachen
22%
Draws
36%
Jena
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Alemannia Aachen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Alemannia Aachen picked up more points recently compared to Jena.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 2.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 95%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70%
Alemannia Aachen Clean Sheet 10%
Jena Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 86%
Second Half Goal 90%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alemannia Aachen Jena
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 17 16
Draws 6 4
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 2.37 2.36
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 4.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 6, 2026 Club Friendly
Alemannia Aachen vs Jena
3:0
Feb 4, 2008 2. Bundesliga
Jena vs Alemannia Aachen
2:3
Aug 10, 2007 2. Bundesliga
Alemannia Aachen vs Jena
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alemannia Aachen Compare

Top Goalscorer Castelle N. H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gindorf L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

Jena Compare

Avg xG / game 3.86
Avg xA / game 2.36

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alemannia Aachen 40 / 100
Jena 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alemannia Aachen Jena

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Alemannia Aachen or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.6%
1.41
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Alemannia Aachen attacking → ← attacking Jena

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alemannia Aachen scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Jena let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Alemannia Aachen went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Jena lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

57 Points in last 5 52
3.25 Goals expected (xG) 4.25
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88