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Ales vs Chamalieres

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National 2 - Group A 2023/2024
Ales Logo

Ales

1 - 1
FT
Chamalieres Logo

Chamalieres

Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Sery J.
52' Event
Diaby A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A 2023/2024 game between Ales and Chamalieres finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Ales
30%
Draws
12%
Chamalieres
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ales

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ales come out ahead of Chamalieres on wins alone.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Ales taking it.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Ales Clean Sheet 68%
Chamalieres Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ales Chamalieres
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 7 11
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.2 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 National 1 - Group A
Chamalieres vs Ales
0:2
Dec 16, 2023 National 1 - Group A
Ales vs Chamalieres
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ales Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaby A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Chamalieres Compare

Top Goalscorer Sery J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ales 95 / 100
Chamalieres 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ales Chamalieres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ales Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chamalieres has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Ales scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Ales stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ales VS Chamalieres
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ales

(Home)
30 Nov
Ales
1 : 5
Cannes
16 Nov
Ales
4 : 2
Beaucairois
18 May
Bourgoin Jallieu
0 : 0
Ales
11 May
Ales
2 : 1
Toulouse II
27 Apr
Chamalieres
0 : 2
Ales
Page 1 of 6

Chamalieres

(Away)
15 Nov
Fontenay
1 : 0
Chamalieres
18 May
Chamalieres
2 : 2
Toulon
11 May
Frejus Saint Raphael
4 : 1
Chamalieres
27 Apr
Chamalieres
0 : 2
Ales
20 Apr
Jura Sud
2 : 2
Chamalieres
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aubagne FC 26 14 10 2 33:17 52
2 Le Puy-en-Velay 26 12 10 4 39:24 46
3 RC Grasse 26 10 12 4 31:21 42
4 Jura Sud 26 10 11 5 34:23 41
5 Cannes 26 9 13 4 41:21 40
6 Hyeres 26 9 10 7 37:22 37
7 Frejus Saint Raphael 26 8 12 6 25:19 36
8 Toulon 26 9 8 9 30:29 35
9 Andrezieux 26 9 7 10 26:28 34
10 Ales 26 7 8 11 23:39 29
11 Thonon-Evian 26 7 7 12 27:35 28
12 Chamalieres 26 5 11 10 26:40 26
13 Bourgoin Jallieu 26 4 9 13 24:43 21
14 Toulouse II 26 1 8 17 24:59 11
Promotion - National 2024/2025 (Main)