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Stadium Background

Ales vs Paris FC

France France

Coupe de France 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Jabbari A.
51'
Diaby A.
54'
Dabo D.

AI Match Summary

Ales host Paris FC in the Coupe de France 2023/2024. This one's hard to separate. Ales have averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded recently, against Paris FC's 0.75 scored and 1.5 conceded. Past meetings favor Paris FC slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 6, 2024, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.35 - 0.93) back Paris FC to edge this. Paris FC in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Ales
28%
Draws
50%
Paris FC
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Paris FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Paris FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Ales.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Paris FC.
  • Cup tournament structure in Coupe de France 2023/2024 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Ales Clean Sheet 24%
Paris FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ales Paris FC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 6, 2024 Coupe de France
Ales vs Paris FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ales Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Paris FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Jabbari A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kebbal I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ales 25 / 100
Paris FC 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ales Paris FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ales scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Paris FC let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Ales went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Paris FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Paris FC
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Montlouis0
Bergerac4
Morlaas Est-Bearn0
Panazol1
Jeunesse Villenavaise1
JA Isle0
Aizenay1
Libourne2
Sarre Union1
APM Metz0
Colmar0
Pontarlier1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Lyon-
Bleriot Plage1
ASPTT Dijon0
Camon2
Chambly5
Villers Houlgate4
Equeurd Hainnev0
Laon US1
Racing Club de France2
Lille-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Samaritaine0
Golden Lion1
Le Quesnoy1
Troyenne4
Metz-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Clermont-
US Noeux Les Mines2
Avoine3
Le Geldar3
Agouado0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Strasbourg-
Stade Briochin4
Concarneau3
Les Herbiers2
Avranches1
Douvres2
Choisy Au Bac1
Chateauroux2
Red Star1
Le Havre-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
RC Calais2
Longueau1
Loon Plage0
Caen3
Macon1
Louhans Cuiseaux2
Cosne US1
Chantilly0
Pontivy2
Plougastel0
Stade Pontivyen1
Rouen2
Chambery1
De Volvic0
Villefranche1
Grenoble2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Toulouse-
Paimpol2
Flers1
Plabennec1
Challans2
Stade Mayennais1
Aunis Avenir0
Liffre0
Rodez3
Lens-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Monaco-
Hauts Lyonnais2
Neuville0
Feurs2
Espaly1
Roche Saint-Genest1
Saint Priest2
Limonest0
Domerat1
Stade Poitevin0
US Castanet3
Auch0
Romorantin4
Moulien3
Baie Mahault1
Torcy0
Fleury-Merogis1
Jarville2
Sarreguemines4
Villerupt Thil0
Biesheim2
Mulhouse2
Jura Dolois1
Haguenau0
Valenciennes2
Velay1
Martigues3
Ales6
Rosador1
Villejuif2
Paris FC3
Tamponnaise2
Saint-Denis3
Toulouse Metropole1
AC Ajaccio4
Lavernose Lherm0
Orleans4
Bourg Peronnas0
St Etienne3
Roannais1
Nimes3
Guerande St. Aubin0
US Revel3
Blagnac1
Bayonne0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
PSG-
AS-Fabregues3
Valincu2
Cannes2
Bourgoin Jallieu1
Bassin d'Arcachon2
Saumur Olympique1
Etoile Maritime2
Trelissac3
Brest-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Plessis Robinson2
Brissac1
Houilles0
Angers2
Itancourt Neuville3
IC Croix2
FC Bondues0
Feignies-Aulnoye1
Montdidier0
Quevilly4
Doullens0
Dijon6
Schweighouse2
Thaon3
Hombourg-Haut0
Amiens SC3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Montpellier-
St. Michel0
Sannois2
Noisy Le Sec0
Furiani Agliani2
Vierzon Foot0
Angouleme CFC1
Canet Roussillon1
Bordeaux2
Nice-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Saint-Meziery1
Pirae0
USLPV0
Auxerre1
Lyon - La Duchere4
Bastia1
Thonon-Evian3
Aubagne FC2
Chaponnay-Marennes1
Hyeres0
Le Puy-en-Velay2
FC Seyssins0
Saint-Omer2
Saint Denis U.S.1
Epinal2
Troyes1
Reims Ste Anne2
Boulogne1
Football Club de Chaumont0
Dunkerque1
Coulaines2
Cholet1
Chauray0
Pau1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Nantes-
SU Dives2
Dieppe3
Ergue-Gaberic3
St. Renan1
Saint-Philbert2
Le Poire Sur Vie0
Provin0
Laval5
Forbach0
Geispolsheim1
Sochaux2
Jura Sud1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Lorient-
Dinan3
TA Rennes1
Chateaugiron0
Vitre6
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Reims-
Caennaise2
Fougeres1
Saint-Malo2
Guingamp3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Rennes-
Hienghene Sport0
Thionville4
Fosseenne1
Annecy2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Marseille-
1/64-finals
Bergerac4
Panazol2
Jeunesse Villenavaise2
Libourne4
Sarre Union0
Pontarlier1
TBD-
Lyon-
Bleriot Plage0
Chambly3
Villers Houlgate1
Racing Club de France3
Lille-
TBD-
Golden Lion3
Troyenne2
Metz-
TBD-
TBD-
Clermont-
Avoine4
Le Geldar1
TBD-
Strasbourg-
Stade Briochin1
Les Herbiers2
Douvres1
Chateauroux5
Le Havre-
TBD-
RC Calais1
Caen4
Louhans Cuiseaux3
Cosne US2
Pontivy0
Rouen1
Chambery2
Grenoble1
TBD-
Toulouse-
Paimpol1
Challans2
Stade Mayennais0
Rodez9
Lens-
TBD-
TBD-
Monaco-
Hauts Lyonnais0
Feurs3
Saint Priest3
Domerat0
US Castanet0
Romorantin3
Moulien2
Fleury-Merogis1
Sarreguemines3
Biesheim0
Mulhouse1
Valenciennes2
Martigues1
Ales2
Paris FC3
Saint-Denis1
AC Ajaccio1
Orleans2
St Etienne0
Nimes1
US Revel2
Blagnac1
TBD-
PSG-
AS-Fabregues3
Cannes2
Bassin d'Arcachon0
Trelissac2
Brest-
TBD-
Plessis Robinson1
Angers2
Itancourt Neuville2
Feignies-Aulnoye3
Quevilly3
Dijon1
Thaon0
Amiens SC1
TBD-
Montpellier-
Sannois1
Furiani Agliani0
Angouleme CFC0
Bordeaux1
Nice-
TBD-
Saint-Meziery1
Auxerre4
Lyon - La Duchere2
Thonon-Evian1
Chaponnay-Marennes0
Le Puy-en-Velay3
Saint-Omer2
Epinal1
Reims Ste Anne-
Dunkerque-
Coulaines1
Pau5
TBD-
Nantes-
Dieppe2
Ergue-Gaberic0
Saint-Philbert1
Laval2
Geispolsheim0
Sochaux4
TBD-
Lorient-
Dinan2
Vitre0
TBD-
Reims-
Caennaise0
Guingamp1
TBD-
Rennes-
Thionville2
Annecy1
TBD-
Marseille-
1/32-finals
Bergerac2
Libourne1
Pontarlier0
Lyon3
Chambly1
Racing Club de France2
Lille12
Golden Lion0
Metz1
Clermont2
Avoine0
Strasbourg4
Les Herbiers2
Chateauroux3
Le Havre2
Caen1
Louhans Cuiseaux0
Rouen2
Chambery0
Toulouse3
Challans0
Rodez4
Lens2
Monaco3
Feurs3
Saint Priest5
Romorantin4
Moulien0
Sarreguemines0
Valenciennes2
Ales1
Paris FC2
Orleans2
Nimes1
US Revel0
PSG9
AS-Fabregues1
Trelissac4
Brest1
Angers0
Feignies-Aulnoye1
Quevilly0
Amiens SC1
Montpellier2
Sannois1
Bordeaux2
Nice1
Auxerre0
Lyon - La Duchere1
Le Puy-en-Velay2
Saint-Omer2
Dunkerque3
Pau1
Nantes4
Dieppe0
Laval4
Sochaux2
Lorient1
Dinan0
Reims3
Guingamp0
Rennes2
Thionville0
Marseille1
1/16-finals
Bergerac1
Lyon2
Racing Club de France0
Lille1
Clermont1
Strasbourg3
Chateauroux0
Le Havre1
Rouen4
Toulouse3
Rodez1
Monaco3
Saint Priest4
Romorantin1
Valenciennes2
Paris FC1
Orleans1
PSG4
Trelissac1
Brest2
Feignies-Aulnoye0
Montpellier4
Bordeaux2
Nice3
Le Puy-en-Velay2
Dunkerque1
Nantes0
Laval1
Sochaux3
Reims2
Rennes2
Marseille1
1/8-finals
Lyon2
Lille1
Strasbourg3
Le Havre1
Rouen2
Monaco1
Saint Priest1
Valenciennes2
PSG3
Brest1
Montpellier1
Nice4
Le Puy-en-Velay2
Laval1
Sochaux1
Rennes6
Quarter-finals
Lyon1
Strasbourg0
Rouen1
Valenciennes2
PSG3
Nice1
Le Puy-en-Velay1
Rennes3
Semi-finals
Lyon3
Valenciennes0
PSG1
Rennes0
Final
Lyon1
PSG2