Sport Picks
Match Events
17'
17'
Munari D.
45'
45'
Gusu M.
46'
46'
Sub
Samele L. In: Gazoul M.
Out: Samele L.
AI Match Summary
AlbinoLeffe in this Serie C - Group A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AlbinoLeffe.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alessandria
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to AlbinoLeffe lately — more wins on the board than Alessandria.
- 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Serie C - Group A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 79.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Alessandria Clean Sheet 68%
AlbinoLeffe Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alessandria | AlbinoLeffe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 18 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.61 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.07 | 1.51 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 24, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Alessandria vs AlbinoLeffe
0:1
Oct 21, 2023 Serie C - Group A
AlbinoLeffe vs Alessandria
0:0
Jun 9, 2021 Serie C - Group A
Alessandria vs AlbinoLeffe
2:2
Jun 6, 2021 Serie C - Group A
AlbinoLeffe vs Alessandria
1:2
Mar 7, 2021 Serie C - Group A
Alessandria vs AlbinoLeffe
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alessandria Compare
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.54
AlbinoLeffe Compare
Top Goalscorer Gusu M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.37
Avg xA / game 0.84
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alessandria 41 / 100
AlbinoLeffe 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alessandria AlbinoLeffe
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alessandria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AlbinoLeffe has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Alessandria went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Alessandria found the back of the net in 46% of recent matches (28 games).
Scoring Trends
Alessandria VS AlbinoLeffe
1.14 Goals Scored 1.88
1.14 Goals Conceded 1
71% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 75%
14% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Alessandria
(Home) 27 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 0 Asti Calcio
16 Sept
Millesimo
4 : 1 Alessandria
13 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1 Sestri Levante
06 Sept
Valenzana
1 : 2 Alessandria
04 Aug
Alessandria
1 : 2 Juventus U23
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 0 Asti Calcio
13 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1 Sestri Levante
04 Aug
Alessandria
1 : 2 Juventus U23
28 Apr
Alessandria
1 : 2 Vicenza
13 Apr
Alessandria
1 : 2 Pro Patria
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AlbinoLeffe
(Away) 27 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 1 Alcione Milano
20 Sept
Juventus U23
3 : 5 AlbinoLeffe
17 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 2 Arzignano
13 Sept
Dolomiti Bellunesi
0 : 0 AlbinoLeffe
06 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
0 : 1 Carpi
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20 Sept
Juventus U23
3 : 5 AlbinoLeffe
13 Sept
Dolomiti Bellunesi
0 : 0 AlbinoLeffe
22 Aug
Giana Erminio
1 : 2 AlbinoLeffe
15 Aug
Arzignano
2 : 1 AlbinoLeffe
29 Jul
Arezzo
1 : 3 AlbinoLeffe
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mantova | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 72:31 | 80 |
| 2 | Padova | 38 | 21 | 14 | 3 | 55:28 | 77 |
| 3 | Vicenza | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 52:30 | 71 |
| 4 | Triestina | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 61:44 | 64 |
| 5 | Atalanta U23 | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 43:36 | 59 |
| 6 | Legnago Salus | 38 | 13 | 17 | 8 | 46:39 | 56 |
| 7 | Giana Erminio | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 46:44 | 53 |
| 8 | Pro Vercelli | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 50:47 | 53 |
| 9 | Lumezzane | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 49:48 | 53 |
| 10 | Trento | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 34:37 | 51 |
| 11 | Virtus Verona | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 35:43 | 47 |
| 12 | Pro Patria | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 37:51 | 46 |
| 13 | AlbinoLeffe | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 34:37 | 45 |
| 14 | Pergolettese | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 44:50 | 45 |
| 15 | Renate | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 35:46 | 45 |
| 16 | Arzignano | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 32:37 | 44 |
| 17 | Novara | 38 | 8 | 19 | 11 | 39:49 | 43 |
| 18 | Fiorenzuola | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 38:62 | 38 |
| 19 | Pro Sesto | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 25:40 | 35 |
| 20 | Alessandria | 38 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 20:48 | 20 |
Promotion - Serie B 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)
