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Alessandria vs Fezzanese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta, Alessandria
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Balan G.
86' Event
Alfiero V.

AI Match Summary

Alessandria in this Serie D - Group A matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alessandria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Alessandria
15%
Draws
17%
Fezzanese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alessandria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alessandria lately — more wins on the board than Fezzanese.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on Alessandria taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Alessandria Clean Sheet 68%
Fezzanese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alessandria Fezzanese
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 3 7
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.1 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Alessandria vs Fezzanese
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alessandria Compare

Top Goalscorer Balan G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alfiero V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Fezzanese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alessandria 95 / 100
Fezzanese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alessandria Fezzanese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alessandria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fezzanese let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Alessandria found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Alessandria went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alessandria VS Fezzanese
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alessandria

(Home)
01 Nov
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 3
Alessandria
25 Oct
Alessandria
2 : 0
AS Biellese
18 Oct
GSD Lascaris
1 : 2
Alessandria
11 Oct
Alessandria
2 : 0
Fezzanese
07 Oct
AS Biellese
3 : 2
Alessandria
Page 1 of 6

Fezzanese

(Away)
31 Oct
Fezzanese
0 : 2
Asti Calcio
25 Oct
GSD Lascaris
0 : 1
Fezzanese
18 Oct
Fezzanese
0 : 4
Millesimo
11 Oct
Alessandria
2 : 0
Fezzanese
04 Oct
Fezzanese
1 : 2
Valenzana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alessandria 10 9 0 1 21:10 27
2 Chisola 10 6 2 2 24:12 20
3 AS Biellese 10 6 2 2 21:11 20
4 Ligorna 10 5 2 3 17:12 17
5 Derthona FbC 10 4 4 2 14:14 16
6 Millesimo 10 5 1 4 17:11 16
7 Imperia Calcio 10 4 3 3 13:11 15
8 Asti Calcio 10 4 2 4 11:12 14
9 Gozzano 10 4 2 4 12:15 14
10 Sanremese 10 3 5 2 12:9 14
11 Saluzzo 10 2 6 2 10:10 12
12 Borgosesia Calcio 10 3 3 4 13:15 12
13 GSD Lascaris 10 3 2 5 9:14 11
14 Fezzanese 10 3 1 6 8:15 10
15 Bra 10 2 4 4 8:14 10
16 Sestri Levante 10 2 4 4 7:10 10
17 Valenzana 10 1 2 7 10:18 5
18 Celle Varazze 10 1 1 8 5:19 4
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)