Sport Picks
Alessandria vs Pro Vercelli Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie C - Group A 2023/2024 
Match Events
24'
24'
Mustacchio M.
54'
54'
Nichetti M.
64'
64'
Sub
Nunzella L. In: Rossi E.
Out: Nunzella L.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group A 2023/2024 game between Alessandria and Pro Vercelli finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
56%
20%
24%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alessandria
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Pro Vercelli come out ahead of Alessandria on wins alone.
- Model gives Alessandria a 56% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Alessandria Clean Sheet 68%
Pro Vercelli Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alessandria | Pro Vercelli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 17 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.68 | 1.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 30, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Alessandria vs Pro Vercelli
1:1
Nov 25, 2023 Serie C - Group A
Pro Vercelli vs Alessandria
2:0
Mar 22, 2021 Serie C - Group A
Pro Vercelli vs Alessandria
0:1
Nov 29, 2020 Serie C - Group A
Alessandria vs Pro Vercelli
2:1
Apr 26, 2020 Serie C - Group A
Pro Vercelli vs Alessandria
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alessandria Compare
Top Goalscorer Soler I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Pro Vercelli Compare
Top Goalscorer Mustacchio M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alessandria 86 / 100
Pro Vercelli 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alessandria Pro Vercelli
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alessandria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Pro Vercelli conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Alessandria stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Alessandria's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Alessandria VS Pro Vercelli
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Alessandria
(Home) 30 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1 Imperia Calcio
27 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 0 Asti Calcio
16 Sept
Millesimo
4 : 1 Alessandria
13 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1 Sestri Levante
06 Sept
Valenzana
1 : 2 Alessandria
Page 1 of 6
30 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1 Imperia Calcio
27 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 0 Asti Calcio
13 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1 Sestri Levante
04 Aug
Alessandria
1 : 2 Juventus U23
28 Apr
Alessandria
1 : 2 Vicenza
Page 1 of 3
Pro Vercelli
(Away) 26 Sept
Giana Erminio
1 : 1 Pro Vercelli
21 Sept
Trento
4 : 0 Pro Vercelli
17 Sept
Pro Vercelli
2 : 2 Alcione Milano
13 Sept
Treviso
2 : 1 Pro Vercelli
07 Sept
Pro Vercelli
1 : 0 Folgore Caratese
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Giana Erminio
1 : 1 Pro Vercelli
21 Sept
Trento
4 : 0 Pro Vercelli
13 Sept
Treviso
2 : 1 Pro Vercelli
02 Sept
Carpi
2 : 1 Pro Vercelli
30 Aug
Arzignano
1 : 0 Pro Vercelli
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mantova | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 72:31 | 80 |
| 2 | Padova | 38 | 21 | 14 | 3 | 55:28 | 77 |
| 3 | Vicenza | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 52:30 | 71 |
| 4 | Triestina | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 61:44 | 64 |
| 5 | Atalanta U23 | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 43:36 | 59 |
| 6 | Legnago Salus | 38 | 13 | 17 | 8 | 46:39 | 56 |
| 7 | Giana Erminio | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 46:44 | 53 |
| 8 | Pro Vercelli | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 50:47 | 53 |
| 9 | Lumezzane | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 49:48 | 53 |
| 10 | Trento | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 34:37 | 51 |
| 11 | Virtus Verona | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 35:43 | 47 |
| 12 | Pro Patria | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 37:51 | 46 |
| 13 | AlbinoLeffe | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 34:37 | 45 |
| 14 | Pergolettese | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 44:50 | 45 |
| 15 | Renate | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 35:46 | 45 |
| 16 | Arzignano | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 32:37 | 44 |
| 17 | Novara | 38 | 8 | 19 | 11 | 39:49 | 43 |
| 18 | Fiorenzuola | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 38:62 | 38 |
| 19 | Pro Sesto | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 25:40 | 35 |
| 20 | Alessandria | 38 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 20:48 | 20 |
Promotion - Serie B 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)
