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Alessandria vs Sestri Levante - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta, Alessandria
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Bruzzo M.
11' Event
Diop M.
37' Event
Cirio E.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A game between Alessandria and Sestri Levante finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alessandria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Alessandria
30%
Draws
14%
Sestri Levante
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alessandria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alessandria come out ahead of Sestri Levante on wins alone.
  • Alessandria are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Alessandria Clean Sheet 68%
Sestri Levante Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alessandria Sestri Levante
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 3 9
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.1 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Alessandria vs Sestri Levante
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alessandria Compare

Top Goalscorer Diop M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cirio E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Sestri Levante Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruzzo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alessandria 95 / 100
Sestri Levante 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alessandria Sestri Levante

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alessandria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alessandria scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Sestri Levante conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Alessandria stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alessandria VS Sestri Levante
2.25 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alessandria

(Home)
01 Nov
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 3
Alessandria
25 Oct
Alessandria
2 : 0
AS Biellese
18 Oct
GSD Lascaris
1 : 2
Alessandria
11 Oct
Alessandria
2 : 0
Fezzanese
07 Oct
AS Biellese
3 : 2
Alessandria
Page 1 of 6

Sestri Levante

(Away)
04 Nov
Lucchese
2 : 1
Sestri Levante
01 Nov
Ligorna
0 : 0
Sestri Levante
25 Oct
Sestri Levante
0 : 0
Saluzzo
18 Oct
Sanremese
1 : 0
Sestri Levante
11 Oct
Sestri Levante
1 : 1
Celle Varazze
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alessandria 10 9 0 1 21:10 27
2 Chisola 10 6 2 2 24:12 20
3 AS Biellese 10 6 2 2 21:11 20
4 Ligorna 10 5 2 3 17:12 17
5 Derthona FbC 10 4 4 2 14:14 16
6 Millesimo 10 5 1 4 17:11 16
7 Imperia Calcio 10 4 3 3 13:11 15
8 Asti Calcio 10 4 2 4 11:12 14
9 Gozzano 10 4 2 4 12:15 14
10 Sanremese 10 3 5 2 12:9 14
11 Saluzzo 10 2 6 2 10:10 12
12 Borgosesia Calcio 10 3 3 4 13:15 12
13 GSD Lascaris 10 3 2 5 9:14 11
14 Fezzanese 10 3 1 6 8:15 10
15 Bra 10 2 4 4 8:14 10
16 Sestri Levante 10 2 4 4 7:10 10
17 Valenzana 10 1 2 7 10:18 5
18 Celle Varazze 10 1 1 8 5:19 4
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)