Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Alfalah Atbra and Al-Ahly Merowe finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alfalah Atbra.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al-Ahly Merowe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Alfalah Atbra carry the better recent record into this one.
- Al-Ahly Merowe are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Alfalah Atbra Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Ahly Merowe Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alfalah Atbra | Al-Ahly Merowe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 11 | 13 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.38 | 0.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.38 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.38 | 0.57 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.38 | 0.86 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 13, 2026 Premier League
Alfalah Atbra vs Al-Ahly Merowe
1:0
Jan 22, 2026 Premier League
Al-Ahly Merowe vs Alfalah Atbra
0:1
Apr 9, 2023 Premier League
Al-Ahly Merowe vs Alfalah Atbra
1:1
Nov 28, 2022 Premier League
Alfalah Atbra vs Al-Ahly Merowe
4:0
Mar 10, 2020 Premier League
Alfalah Atbra vs Al-Ahly Merowe
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alfalah Atbra 10 / 100
Al-Ahly Merowe 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alfalah Atbra Al-Ahly Merowe
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al-Ahly Merowe has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Alfalah Atbra's goal record stands at 41% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Difficult form: Al-Ahly Merowe registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Alfalah Atbra VS Al-Ahly Merowe
0.38 Goals Scored 0.57
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.86
13% Over 1.5 43%
13% Over 2.5 14%
0% Over 3.5 14%
Recent Form & Match History
Alfalah Atbra
(Home) 09 Jun
Umm Mughad
3 : 1 Alfalah Atbra
06 Jun
Alfalah Atbra
1 : 3 Hay Al Wadi
02 Jun
Hilal El-Fasher
3 : 0 Alfalah Atbra
29 May
Al-Merreikh II
6 : 0 Alfalah Atbra
24 May
Madani
2 : 0 Alfalah Atbra
Page 1 of 6
06 Jun
Alfalah Atbra
1 : 3 Hay Al Wadi
20 May
Alfalah Atbra
0 : 3 Hilal Alsahil
16 May
Alfalah Atbra
0 : 4 Al-Hilal Omdurman II
13 Feb
Alfalah Atbra
1 : 0 Al-Ahly Merowe
08 Feb
Alfalah Atbra
0 : 1 Al-Merreikh II
Page 1 of 3
Al-Ahly Merowe
(Away) 13 Feb
Alfalah Atbra
1 : 0 Al-Ahly Merowe
07 Feb
Al Saham Ad Damer
0 : 0 Al-Ahly Merowe
03 Feb
Al-Ahly Merowe
1 : 1 Alamal SC Atbara
30 Jan
Al-Merreikh II
0 : 0 Al-Ahly Merowe
26 Jan
Al Hilal Karima
2 : 2 Al-Ahly Merowe
Page 1 of 6
13 Feb
Alfalah Atbra
1 : 0 Al-Ahly Merowe
07 Feb
Al Saham Ad Damer
0 : 0 Al-Ahly Merowe
30 Jan
Al-Merreikh II
0 : 0 Al-Ahly Merowe
26 Jan
Al Hilal Karima
2 : 2 Al-Ahly Merowe
15 Jan
Alamal SC Atbara
0 : 1 Al-Ahly Merowe
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman II | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 17:5 | 22 |
| 2 | Hilal Alsahil | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13:6 | 19 |
| 3 | Al Shorta | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8:6 | 13 |
| 4 | Al Taqadom | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 5 | Al-Mergheni | 10 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 9:14 | 7 |
| 6 | Kober | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3:17 | 5 |
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Madani | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 24:6 | 30 |
| 2 | Umm Mughad | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:8 | 18 |
| 3 | Al Hilal Manaqil | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:7 | 14 |
| 4 | Rabita Kosti | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7:14 | 10 |
| 5 | Ahli Khartoum | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7:21 | 6 |
| 6 | Merikh Kosti | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:17 | 5 |
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Merreikh II | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 15:7 | 22 |
| 2 | Alfalah Atbra | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5:4 | 13 |
| 3 | Al Saham Ad Damer | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10:9 | 12 |
| 4 | Al Hilal Karima | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:17 | 11 |
| 5 | Alamal SC Atbara | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:10 | 10 |
| 6 | Al-Ahly Merowe | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6:8 | 9 |
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hilal El-Fasher | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 19 |
| 2 | Hay Al Wadi | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14:13 | 15 |
| 3 | Haidob Al Nuhod | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:8 | 15 |
| 4 | Al Fajr | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:18 | 12 |
| 5 | Zamala Ruwaba | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:13 | 11 |
| 6 | Al-Merreikh Obeid | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14:20 | 10 |
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
