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Alfaro vs Amorebieta

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Alfaro Logo

Alfaro

0 - 0
FT
Amorebieta Logo

Amorebieta

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Alfaro
30%
Draws
39%
Amorebieta
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Amorebieta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Alfaro haven't matched Amorebieta's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Amorebieta's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Alfaro Clean Sheet 17%
Amorebieta Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alfaro Amorebieta
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0.97 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alfaro vs Amorebieta
0:0
Nov 1, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Amorebieta vs Alfaro
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alfaro 28 / 100
Amorebieta 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alfaro Amorebieta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amorebieta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amorebieta let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Alfaro's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Alfaro went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alfaro VS Amorebieta
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alfaro

(Home)
20 Sept
Alfaro
1 : 2
Haro Deportivo
13 Sept
Alfaro
2 : 1
Yague
06 Sept
Calasancio
2 : 2
Alfaro
07 Aug
Alfaro
0 : 4
Tudelano
01 May
Real Union
2 : 0
Alfaro
Page 1 of 6

Amorebieta

(Away)
20 Sept
Rayo Cantabria
0 : 2
Amorebieta
13 Sept
Bergantinos
1 : 0
Amorebieta
06 Sept
Amorebieta
2 : 2
Arosa SC
29 Aug
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 0
Amorebieta
26 Aug
Gernika Club
1 : 1
Amorebieta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union 34 20 9 5 64:35 69
2 Alaves B 34 17 11 6 41:20 62
3 UD Logrones 34 18 7 9 73:33 61
4 Utebo FC 34 17 7 10 56:42 58
5 Tudelano 34 16 9 9 56:40 57
6 Amorebieta 34 13 11 10 38:32 50
7 Sestao 34 12 14 8 40:33 50
8 Ebro 34 11 16 7 42:36 49
9 Eibar B 34 14 7 13 41:42 49
10 Basconia 34 11 14 9 55:43 47
11 Gernika Club 34 12 9 13 34:40 45
12 Naxara 34 11 8 15 39:48 41
13 SD Logrones 34 8 13 13 22:40 37
14 Beasain 34 8 12 14 38:46 36
15 SD Ejea 34 8 11 15 35:55 35
16 Mutilvera 34 8 6 20 31:65 30
17 Zaragoza B 34 7 7 20 32:59 28
18 Alfaro 34 6 7 21 32:60 25
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)