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Alfaro vs Comillas CF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16
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Match Events

87' Event
Fernandez Sainz A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 game between Alfaro and Comillas CF finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alfaro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Alfaro
15%
Draws
7%
Comillas CF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alfaro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Comillas CF's 1.29 goals per match outpaces what Alfaro have produced (1.1).
  • Win probability leans Alfaro's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Alfaro have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Alfaro Clean Sheet 20%
Comillas CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alfaro Comillas CF
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 11 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.1 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Alfaro vs Comillas CF
1:0
Apr 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Comillas CF vs Alfaro
0:2
Nov 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Alfaro vs Comillas CF
2:2
Mar 20, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Comillas CF vs Alfaro
0:1
Dec 20, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Alfaro vs Comillas CF
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alfaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez Sainz A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Comillas CF Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alfaro 85 / 100
Comillas CF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alfaro Comillas CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alfaro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Alfaro scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Comillas CF let in goals in 76% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Alfaro remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alfaro VS Comillas CF
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alfaro

(Home)
01 Nov
Alfaro
1 : 0
Comillas CF
25 Oct
Varea
1 : 0
Alfaro
18 Oct
Alfaro
1 : 0
Vianes
11 Oct
Casalarreina CF
0 : 1
Alfaro
04 Oct
Alfaro
2 : 1
CD Calahorra
Page 1 of 6

Comillas CF

(Away)
01 Nov
Alfaro
1 : 0
Comillas CF
25 Oct
Comillas CF
0 : 2
Calasancio
17 Oct
Agoncillo
2 : 2
Comillas CF
10 Oct
Comillas CF
1 : 2
Oyonesa
04 Oct
CDFC La Calzada
1 : 0
Comillas CF
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haro Deportivo 9 7 1 1 22:13 22
2 CDFC La Calzada 9 7 0 2 15:11 21
3 Alfaro 9 6 1 2 12:8 19
4 CD Calahorra 9 6 0 3 26:10 18
5 Berceo 9 6 0 3 21:11 18
6 Anguiano 9 5 2 2 16:7 17
7 Varea 9 4 4 1 8:5 16
8 Agoncillo 9 4 3 2 18:12 15
9 San Marcial 9 4 3 2 12:7 15
10 Oyonesa 9 4 2 3 14:11 14
11 Pradejon 9 4 1 4 10:12 13
12 Yague 9 3 0 6 9:19 9
13 Calasancio 9 2 2 5 9:18 8
14 River Ebro 9 2 1 6 9:19 7
15 Comillas CF 9 1 3 5 6:12 6
16 Cenicero 9 1 2 6 8:16 5
17 Vianes 9 1 1 7 10:17 4
18 Casalarreina CF 9 1 0 8 6:23 3
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 (Play Offs)