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Alfaro vs Mutilvera

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Morillas Idoate R.
69' Event
Salvador M.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Alfaro and Mutilvera finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alfaro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Alfaro
6%
Draws
4%
Mutilvera
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Alfaro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mutilvera come out ahead of Alfaro on wins alone.
  • Alfaro are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Alfaro Clean Sheet 68%
Mutilvera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alfaro Mutilvera
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 19 19
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alfaro vs Mutilvera
2:0
Dec 13, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Mutilvera vs Alfaro
0:0
Apr 23, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alfaro vs Mutilvera
2:1
Dec 10, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Mutilvera vs Alfaro
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alfaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Morillas Idoate R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salvador M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Mutilvera Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alfaro 95 / 100
Mutilvera 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alfaro Mutilvera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mutilvera has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Difficult form: Mutilvera registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Alfaro scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alfaro VS Mutilvera
1.63 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Alfaro

(Home)
01 May
Real Union
2 : 0
Alfaro
26 Apr
Alfaro
0 : 1
SD Logrones
19 Apr
Alfaro
2 : 1
Naxara
12 Apr
Tudelano
3 : 1
Alfaro
02 Apr
Alfaro
3 : 1
Zaragoza B
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Mutilvera

(Away)
03 May
Mutilvera
0 : 2
Amorebieta
26 Apr
UD Logrones
3 : 0
Mutilvera
18 Apr
Mutilvera
1 : 2
Utebo FC
12 Apr
Basconia
4 : 0
Mutilvera
03 Apr
Mutilvera
1 : 1
Ebro
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Union34209564:3569
2Alaves B341711641:2062
3UD Logrones34187973:3361
4Utebo FC341771056:4258
5Tudelano34169956:4057
6Amorebieta3413111038:3250
7Sestao341214840:3350
8Ebro341116742:3649
9Eibar B341471341:4249
10Basconia341114955:4347
11Gernika Club341291334:4045
12Naxara341181539:4841
13SD Logrones348131322:4037
14Beasain348121438:4636
15SD Ejea348111535:5535
16Mutilvera34862031:6530
17Zaragoza B34772032:5928
18Alfaro34672132:6025
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)