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Alfaro vs Vianes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alfaro host Vianes in the Tercera RFEF - Group 16. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Vianes have shipped 1.31 goals a game lately, while Alfaro have conceded 1.72 and scored 1.1. Head-to-head, Alfaro have won 5 to Vianes's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 25, 2024, ending 4:1. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.38, favoring Alfaro. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Alfaro
20%
Draws
7%
Vianes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alfaro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Vianes have won more games recently than Alfaro.
  • Win probability leans Alfaro's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Alfaro have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Alfaro Clean Sheet 17%
Vianes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alfaro Vianes
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 8 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.1 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Alfaro vs Vianes
4:1
Oct 8, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Vianes vs Alfaro
3:4
Mar 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Alfaro vs Vianes
3:0
Oct 24, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Vianes vs Alfaro
1:3
Mar 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Alfaro vs Vianes
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alfaro 75 / 100
Vianes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alfaro Vianes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alfaro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Alfaro found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Vianes conceded in 63% of 35 recent games.

Solid form: Alfaro remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alfaro VS Vianes
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alfaro

(Home)
04 Oct
Alfaro
2 : 1
CD Calahorra
27 Sept
Anguiano
1 : 2
Alfaro
20 Sept
Alfaro
1 : 2
Haro Deportivo
13 Sept
Alfaro
2 : 1
Yague
06 Sept
Calasancio
2 : 2
Alfaro
Page 1 of 6

Vianes

(Away)
04 Oct
Agoncillo
2 : 0
Vianes
27 Sept
Vianes
2 : 2
Oyonesa
20 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 2
Vianes
13 Sept
Vianes
1 : 2
Pradejon
06 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 0
Vianes
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haro Deportivo 5 4 1 0 12:6 13
2 Berceo 5 4 0 1 14:5 12
3 CDFC La Calzada 5 4 0 1 9:4 12
4 Alfaro 5 3 1 1 9:7 10
5 Pradejon 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
6 CD Calahorra 5 3 0 2 14:7 9
7 Agoncillo 5 2 2 1 12:8 8
8 Anguiano 6 2 2 2 8:6 8
9 Varea 5 1 4 0 4:3 7
10 San Marcial 5 1 3 1 4:4 6
11 Yague 6 2 0 4 5:11 6
12 Cenicero 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
13 Oyonesa 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
14 Comillas CF 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
15 Calasancio 5 1 2 2 7:12 5
16 River Ebro 6 1 1 4 6:15 4
17 Casalarreina CF 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
18 Vianes 5 0 1 4 5:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 (Play Offs)