Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alfaro vs Zaragoza B

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Fernandez Sainz A.
12' Event
Garrido I.
44' Event
Vadillo I.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Alfaro and Zaragoza B finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alfaro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Alfaro
20%
Draws
57%
Zaragoza B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zaragoza B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Zaragoza B have managed 0.96 goals a game lately — Alfaro are scoring more at 1.
  • Zaragoza B are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Alfaro Clean Sheet 13%
Zaragoza B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alfaro Zaragoza B
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 6
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alfaro vs Zaragoza B
3:1
Oct 11, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Zaragoza B vs Alfaro
3:2
Apr 20, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Zaragoza B vs Alfaro
3:2
Dec 8, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alfaro vs Zaragoza B
2:0
Mar 26, 2006 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Zaragoza B vs Alfaro
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alfaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez Sainz A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garrido I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Zaragoza B Compare

Top Goalscorer Vadillo I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alfaro 22 / 100
Zaragoza B 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alfaro Zaragoza B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zaragoza B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Zaragoza B conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Alfaro found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Recent resilience: Alfaro stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alfaro VS Zaragoza B
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alfaro

(Home)
20 Sept
Alfaro
1 : 2
Haro Deportivo
13 Sept
Alfaro
2 : 1
Yague
06 Sept
Calasancio
2 : 2
Alfaro
07 Aug
Alfaro
0 : 4
Tudelano
01 May
Real Union
2 : 0
Alfaro
Page 1 of 6

Zaragoza B

(Away)
20 Sept
CD Caspe
1 : 1
Zaragoza B
13 Sept
Zaragoza B
2 : 0
La Almunia
05 Sept
Tamarite
1 : 2
Zaragoza B
03 May
Beasain
3 : 2
Zaragoza B
26 Apr
Zaragoza B
3 : 1
Real Union
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union 34 20 9 5 64:35 69
2 Alaves B 34 17 11 6 41:20 62
3 UD Logrones 34 18 7 9 73:33 61
4 Utebo FC 34 17 7 10 56:42 58
5 Tudelano 34 16 9 9 56:40 57
6 Amorebieta 34 13 11 10 38:32 50
7 Sestao 34 12 14 8 40:33 50
8 Ebro 34 11 16 7 42:36 49
9 Eibar B 34 14 7 13 41:42 49
10 Basconia 34 11 14 9 55:43 47
11 Gernika Club 34 12 9 13 34:40 45
12 Naxara 34 11 8 15 39:48 41
13 SD Logrones 34 8 13 13 22:40 37
14 Beasain 34 8 12 14 38:46 36
15 SD Ejea 34 8 11 15 35:55 35
16 Mutilvera 34 8 6 20 31:65 30
17 Zaragoza B 34 7 7 20 32:59 28
18 Alfaro 34 6 7 21 32:60 25
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)