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Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) vs Union Huaral

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2023
Thu, Aug 17, 2023
0 - 3
06:00 PM
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) host Union Huaral in the Liga 2 2023. This one's hard to separate. Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) have averaged 0.33 scored and 2.33 conceded recently, against Union Huaral's 0.25 scored and 2.25 conceded. Head-to-head, Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) have won 0 to Union Huaral's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 17, 2023, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.29 xG vs 1.29) point toward Alfonso Ugarte (Puno). Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
6%
Draws
4%
Union Huaral
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Union Huaral.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Alfonso Ugarte (Puno).
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga 2 2023 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) Clean Sheet 19%
Union Huaral Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) Union Huaral
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 3
Draws 9 6
Losses 13 23
Goals Scored 0.33 0.25
Goals Conceded 2.33 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.33 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.33 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2023 Liga 2
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) vs Union Huaral
0:3
May 24, 2023 Liga 2
Union Huaral vs Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
1:1
Sep 11, 2022 Liga 2
Union Huaral vs Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
1:0
Jun 12, 2022 Liga 2
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) vs Union Huaral
1:1
Sep 7, 2014 Liga 2
Union Huaral vs Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) 85 / 100
Union Huaral 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) Union Huaral

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Union Huaral let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Union Huaral lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) VS Union Huaral
0.33 Goals Scored 0.25
2.33 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Comerciantes Unidos26203354:2263
2Los Chankas26165572:2553
3Alianza Huanuco26156543:2551
4Llacuabamba26137644:3146
5Santos FC26126832:2442
6Comerciantes FC26116927:2639
7U. San Martin261061034:3036
8Deportivo Coopsol261061030:2936
9Juan Aurich26710923:2731
10Union Huaral26591222:3424
11Ayacucho26581337:5023
12Pirata26561522:5921
13Carlos Stein26152026:768
14Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)26691136:4427