Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alfortville vs Gueugnon

France France

National 2010/2011
Fri, May 27, 2011
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alfortville host Gueugnon in the National 2010/2011. Alfortville go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Alfortville at 0.84 goals for, 1.1 against; Gueugnon at 0.6 for, 1.9 against. Past meetings favor Alfortville slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 27, 2011, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.06, favoring Alfortville. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Alfortville
15%
Draws
28%
Gueugnon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alfortville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Alfortville have won more games recently than Gueugnon.
  • Alfortville are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Alfortville Clean Sheet 20%
Gueugnon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alfortville Gueugnon
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 3
Draws 10 2
Losses 13 25
Goals Scored 0.84 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2011 Ligue 3
Alfortville vs Gueugnon
0:0
Aug 7, 2010 Ligue 3
Gueugnon vs Alfortville
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alfortville 49 / 100
Gueugnon 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alfortville Gueugnon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alfortville Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gueugnon conceded in 88% of 26 recent games.

Gueugnon's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Alfortville scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Alfortville VS Gueugnon
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 80%
38% Over 2.5 80%
25% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Alfortville

(Home)
06 Dec
A.S. Pagny
1 : 0
Alfortville
14 Nov
L'Etoile
1 : 2
Alfortville
25 May
Alfortville
2 : 1
Nancy II
18 May
Sarre Union
3 : 2
Alfortville
11 May
Moulins
1 : 0
Alfortville
Page 1 of 7

Gueugnon

(Away)
16 Nov
Gueugnon
1 : 3
Sochaux
29 Oct
Chamalieres
2 : 1
Gueugnon
17 Nov
Gueugnon
1 : 3
Clermont
02 Dec
Gueugnon
1 : 2
Angouleme CFC
11 Nov
Tour Saint Clair
0 : 1
Gueugnon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bastia 40 27 10 3 81:24 91
2 Amiens SC 40 24 12 4 58:27 84
3 Guingamp 40 23 11 6 87:36 80
4 Strasbourg 40 20 17 3 56:27 77
5 Cannes 40 18 14 8 51:35 68
6 Frejus Saint Raphael 40 19 10 11 56:41 67
7 Beauvais 40 15 16 9 50:48 61
8 Rouen 40 15 14 11 54:44 59
9 Orleans 40 13 14 13 43:40 53
10 Creteil 40 13 12 15 41:48 51
11 Paris FC 40 11 16 13 45:46 49
12 Luzenac 40 12 13 15 39:44 49
13 Niort 40 13 10 17 46:46 49
14 Pacy Eure 40 13 8 19 38:47 45
15 Colmar 40 11 11 18 31:48 44
16 Gap 40 11 10 19 44:62 43
17 Bayonne 40 11 10 19 36:58 43
18 Rodez 40 11 7 22 41:63 40
19 Plabennec 40 9 12 19 33:52 39
20 Alfortville 40 6 10 24 33:79 28
21 Gueugnon 40 3 7 30 21:69 16
Promotion - Ligue 2 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2011/2012 (Main)