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Alfortville vs Senart-Moissy

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CFA - Group A 2011/2012
Alfortville Logo

Alfortville

1 - 1
FT
Senart-Moissy Logo

Senart-Moissy

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this CFA - Group A 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Alfortville
20%
Draws
20%
Senart-Moissy
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alfortville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alfortville lately — more wins on the board than Senart-Moissy.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Alfortville taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Alfortville Clean Sheet 20%
Senart-Moissy Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alfortville Senart-Moissy
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 4
Draws 11 11
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 0.84 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2012 National 1 - Group A
Alfortville vs Senart-Moissy
1:1
Dec 17, 2011 National 1 - Group A
Senart-Moissy vs Alfortville
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alfortville 49 / 100
Senart-Moissy 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alfortville Senart-Moissy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alfortville Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Senart-Moissy conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Away concern: Senart-Moissy has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Alfortville scored in 56% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alfortville VS Senart-Moissy
0.63 Goals Scored 0.67
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.67
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Alfortville

(Home)
06 Dec
A.S. Pagny
1 : 0
Alfortville
14 Nov
L'Etoile
1 : 2
Alfortville
25 May
Alfortville
2 : 1
Nancy II
18 May
Sarre Union
3 : 2
Alfortville
11 May
Moulins
1 : 0
Alfortville
Page 1 of 7

Senart-Moissy

(Away)
14 Nov
Panazol
2 : 1
Senart-Moissy
07 Feb
JA Drancy
2 : 0
Senart-Moissy
12 Nov
Les Sables
4 : 1
Senart-Moissy
02 Jun
Senart-Moissy
0 : 0
Villemomble
23 May
Calvi
1 : 1
Senart-Moissy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Borgo 34 20 7 7 53:33 101
2 Aubervilliers 34 19 7 8 53:34 98
3 Dunkerque 34 17 12 5 50:31 97
4 Auxerre II 34 19 5 10 60:36 96
5 JA Drancy 34 15 10 9 35:32 88
6 Lens II 34 13 11 10 48:39 84
7 Calvi 34 13 11 10 58:51 84
8 Amiens AC 34 14 8 12 41:40 84
9 Ivry 34 14 7 13 50:40 83
10 Lille II 34 13 10 11 44:42 82
11 Compiegne 34 12 7 15 44:52 77
12 Poissy 34 7 17 10 43:47 72
13 Valenciennes II 34 11 5 18 44:52 72
14 PSG II 34 8 11 15 32:38 69
15 Alfortville 34 7 11 16 36:55 66
16 Senart-Moissy 34 6 13 15 22:45 65
17 Villemomble 34 6 12 16 24:47 64
18 Avion 34 5 10 19 34:57 59
Promotion - National 2012/2013 (Main)