Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alfreton vs Burton

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Alfreton
20%
Draws
38%
Burton
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alfreton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Alfreton average 1.25 goals a game right now, well clear of Burton's 0.63.
  • Model gives Alfreton a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Alfreton Clean Sheet 17%
Burton Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alfreton Burton
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 7
Draws 8 10
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.25 0.63
Goals Conceded 2.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Alfreton vs Burton
0:0
Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Alfreton vs Burton
0:1
Jul 11, 2023 Club Friendly
Alfreton vs Burton
1:4
Jul 27, 2021 Club Friendly
Alfreton vs Burton
2:1
Jul 25, 2018 Club Friendly
Alfreton vs Burton
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alfreton 41 / 100
Burton 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alfreton Burton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Alfreton scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Burton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Alfreton went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alfreton VS Burton
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alfreton

(Home)
21 Jul
Alfreton
0 : 1
Rotherham
17 Jul
Alfreton
0 : 2
Derby
14 Jul
Alfreton
1 : 2
Boston United
11 Jul
Alfreton
0 : 0
Burton
04 Jul
Alfreton
0 : 5
Notts County
Page 1 of 6

Burton

(Away)
22 Jul
Burton
0 : 1
Birmingham
18 Jul
Burton
0 : 3
Leicester
11 Jul
Alfreton
0 : 0
Burton
02 May
Leyton Orient
2 : 2
Burton
25 Apr
Burton
1 : 1
Exeter
Page 1 of 6