Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alfreton vs Hyde

England England

NPL Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Parker S. R.
43' Event
Youmbi D.
83' Event
Ligendza S.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Premier Division game between Alfreton and Hyde finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alfreton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Alfreton
15%
Draws
34%
Hyde
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alfreton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Hyde carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Alfreton are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Alfreton have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Alfreton Clean Sheet 18%
Hyde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alfreton Hyde
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 7 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.15 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Alfreton vs Hyde
4:0
Mar 11, 2014 National League
Alfreton vs Hyde
3:0
Nov 23, 2013 National League
Hyde vs Alfreton
1:2
Feb 26, 2013 National League
Alfreton vs Hyde
5:1
Nov 20, 2012 National League
Hyde vs Alfreton
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alfreton Compare

Top Goalscorer Parker S. R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Youmbi D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Hyde Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alfreton 67 / 100
Hyde 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alfreton Hyde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alfreton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Hyde's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Hyde lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Alfreton's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Alfreton VS Hyde
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Alfreton

(Home)
12 Sept
Bamber Bridge
1 : 0
Alfreton
05 Sept
Alfreton
0 : 2
Stratford
31 Aug
Whitby
1 : 4
Alfreton
29 Aug
Alfreton
1 : 2
Warrington Rylands
25 Aug
Alfreton
4 : 0
Hyde
Page 1 of 6

Hyde

(Away)
22 Sept
Leek Town
2 : 1
Hyde
12 Sept
Hyde
1 : 3
Whitby
05 Sept
Warrington Rylands
3 : 1
Hyde
31 Aug
Hyde
2 : 1
Bury FC
29 Aug
Bamber Bridge
4 : 4
Hyde
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cleethorpes 10 7 2 1 25:6 23
2 Avro 9 7 1 1 28:16 22
3 Redcar Athletic 10 6 4 0 19:7 22
4 Guiseley 9 6 1 2 22:10 19
5 Warrington Town 9 5 2 2 18:14 17
6 Bury FC 9 5 1 3 19:8 16
7 Curzon Ashton 9 5 1 3 18:10 16
8 Workington 9 5 1 3 17:15 16
9 Gainsborough 9 4 1 4 14:12 13
10 Warrington Rylands 9 4 1 4 12:13 13
11 Alfreton 9 4 0 5 15:10 12
12 Whitby 9 4 0 5 14:24 12
13 Ashton United 9 3 2 4 10:9 11
14 Hyde 10 3 2 5 11:19 11
15 AFC Emley 9 2 4 3 8:15 10
16 Lancaster 9 3 1 5 9:17 10
17 Leek Town 10 2 3 5 19:20 9
18 Bamber Bridge 10 2 3 5 14:27 9
19 Stockton 10 2 2 6 13:20 8
20 Ilkeston 9 2 1 6 6:21 7
21 Quorn 9 1 3 5 12:23 6
22 United of Manchester 9 1 2 6 12:19 5
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)