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Alfreton vs Radcliffe

England England

National League North 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Jackson B.
88' Event
Cantrill G.

AI Match Summary

The National League North 2025/2026 game between Alfreton and Radcliffe finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Alfreton
15%
Draws
28%
Radcliffe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alfreton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Alfreton carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Alfreton's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Alfreton Clean Sheet 20%
Radcliffe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alfreton Radcliffe
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 7 3
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 1.18 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2026 National League North
Alfreton vs Radcliffe
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 National League North
Radcliffe vs Alfreton
3:1
Apr 26, 2025 National League North
Radcliffe vs Alfreton
1:1
Dec 21, 2024 National League North
Alfreton vs Radcliffe
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alfreton Compare

Top Goalscorer Cantrill G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Radcliffe Compare

Top Goalscorer Jackson B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alfreton 76 / 100
Radcliffe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alfreton Radcliffe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alfreton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Radcliffe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Alfreton scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Radcliffe's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Alfreton VS Radcliffe
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alfreton

(Home)
26 Sept
Alfreton
2 : 1
Shifnal Town
12 Sept
Bamber Bridge
1 : 0
Alfreton
05 Sept
Alfreton
0 : 2
Stratford
31 Aug
Whitby
1 : 4
Alfreton
29 Aug
Alfreton
1 : 2
Warrington Rylands
Page 1 of 6

Radcliffe

(Away)
26 Sept
Hednesford
4 : 1
Radcliffe
19 Sept
Marine
3 : 2
Radcliffe
12 Sept
Radcliffe
0 : 3
Oxford City
08 Sept
Radcliffe
5 : 1
Hebburn Town
05 Sept
Bedford
1 : 0
Radcliffe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AFC Fylde 46 32 4 10 112:51 100
2 South Shields 46 28 11 7 99:43 95
3 Kidderminster 46 25 12 9 74:51 87
4 Macclesfield 46 24 7 15 81:68 79
5 Buxton 46 22 7 17 83:61 73
6 Scarborough Athletic 46 19 16 11 61:52 73
7 Chester 46 20 13 13 66:64 73
8 Merthyr Town 46 22 4 20 95:86 70
9 Darlington FC 46 20 9 17 78:68 69
10 Spennymoor 46 19 11 16 62:69 68
11 Telford 46 17 14 15 85:65 65
12 Marine 46 18 8 20 62:72 62
13 Radcliffe 46 18 6 22 76:83 60
14 Southport 46 16 12 18 64:71 60
15 Chorley 46 15 12 19 66:65 57
16 Worksop 46 16 9 21 66:74 57
17 Oxford City 46 15 11 20 62:67 56
18 Bedford 46 13 14 19 66:77 53
19 King’s Lynn 46 12 16 18 56:64 52
20 Hereford 46 14 10 22 64:79 52
21 Curzon Ashton 46 13 13 20 67:88 52
22 Alfreton 46 12 14 20 49:82 50
23 Peterborough Sports 46 10 9 27 51:96 39
24 Leamington 46 7 8 31 41:90 29
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)