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Alfreton vs Warrington Rylands

England England

NPL Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Youmbi D.
64' Event
Wood H.
74' Event
Hardcastle B.

AI Match Summary

Warrington Rylands in this NPL Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Warrington Rylands.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Alfreton
15%
Draws
53%
Warrington Rylands
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Warrington Rylands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Warrington Rylands lately — more wins on the board than Alfreton.
  • Win probability leans Alfreton's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Alfreton Clean Sheet 17%
Warrington Rylands Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alfreton Warrington Rylands
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.19 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Alfreton vs Warrington Rylands
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alfreton Compare

Top Goalscorer Youmbi D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Warrington Rylands Compare

Top Goalscorer Wood H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hardcastle B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alfreton 66 / 100
Warrington Rylands 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alfreton Warrington Rylands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alfreton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Warrington Rylands conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Alfreton found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (27 games).

Alfreton went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alfreton VS Warrington Rylands
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Alfreton

(Home)
12 Sept
Bamber Bridge
1 : 0
Alfreton
05 Sept
Alfreton
0 : 2
Stratford
31 Aug
Whitby
1 : 4
Alfreton
29 Aug
Alfreton
1 : 2
Warrington Rylands
25 Aug
Alfreton
4 : 0
Hyde
Page 1 of 6

Warrington Rylands

(Away)
19 Sept
Warrington Rylands
0 : 1
Chorley
12 Sept
Warrington Rylands
1 : 1
Stockton
05 Sept
Warrington Rylands
3 : 1
Hyde
31 Aug
Warrington Rylands
3 : 1
Bamber Bridge
29 Aug
Alfreton
1 : 2
Warrington Rylands
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cleethorpes 10 7 2 1 25:6 23
2 Avro 9 7 1 1 28:16 22
3 Redcar Athletic 10 6 4 0 19:7 22
4 Guiseley 9 6 1 2 22:10 19
5 Warrington Town 9 5 2 2 18:14 17
6 Bury FC 9 5 1 3 19:8 16
7 Curzon Ashton 9 5 1 3 18:10 16
8 Workington 9 5 1 3 17:15 16
9 Gainsborough 9 4 1 4 14:12 13
10 Warrington Rylands 9 4 1 4 12:13 13
11 Alfreton 9 4 0 5 15:10 12
12 Whitby 9 4 0 5 14:24 12
13 Ashton United 9 3 2 4 10:9 11
14 Hyde 10 3 2 5 11:19 11
15 AFC Emley 9 2 4 3 8:15 10
16 Lancaster 9 3 1 5 9:17 10
17 Leek Town 10 2 3 5 19:20 9
18 Bamber Bridge 10 2 3 5 14:27 9
19 Stockton 10 2 2 6 13:20 8
20 Ilkeston 9 2 1 6 6:21 7
21 Quorn 9 1 3 5 12:23 6
22 United of Manchester 9 1 2 6 12:19 5
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)