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Algarna-Harnosand vs Froso IF

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Algarna-Harnosand play Froso IF in the Division 2 - Norrland 2024. Froso IF are favorites here. Recently, Algarna-Harnosand averaged 1.36 goals scored and 3.07 conceded. Froso IF averaged 1.32 goals scored and 2.89 conceded. In past meetings, Algarna-Harnosand won 2, Froso IF won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 24, 2024 ended 6:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Algarna-Harnosand and 1.00 for Froso IF. This points to a Froso IF double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Algarna-Harnosand
25%
Draws
60%
Froso IF
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Froso IF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Algarna-Harnosand picked up more points recently compared to Froso IF.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Algarna-Harnosand Clean Sheet 23%
Froso IF Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Algarna-Harnosand Froso IF
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 2 5
Draws 4 2
Losses 22 21
Goals Scored 1.36 1.32
Goals Conceded 3.07 2.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Algarna-Harnosand vs Froso IF
6:2
May 18, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Froso IF vs Algarna-Harnosand
3:2
Sep 16, 2023 Division 2 - Norrland
Froso IF vs Algarna-Harnosand
1:0
May 20, 2023 Division 2 - Norrland
Algarna-Harnosand vs Froso IF
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Algarna-Harnosand Compare

Top Goalscorer Afzali M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Johansson A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Froso IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Carvalho M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Algarna-Harnosand 18 / 100
Froso IF 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Algarna-Harnosand Froso IF

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Froso IF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Froso IF & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.4%
1.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Algarna-Harnosand attacking → ← attacking Froso IF

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Algarna-Harnosand scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

Froso IF let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.75 goals.

Algarna-Harnosand went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Froso IF lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

10 Points in last 5 17
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Umea FF26213286:1966
2Boden26213275:2466
3Bergnasets AIK26162853:4650
4Skelleftea26145754:3247
5IFK Ostersund26135850:3544
6Ytterhogdal26135844:3644
7IFK Lulea26117840:4140
8Gottne IF261061044:3736
9Umea FC Akademi26831540:6227
10Kiruna26751423:4926
11Lucksta IF26741543:6225
12Taftea IK26731638:5624
13Froso IF26422033:7814
14Algarna-Harnosand26232134:809
15Sandvik00000:00