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Algarna-Harnosand vs Gottne IF Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland 2024
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Match Events

23' Event
Mokonen N.
24' Event
Harmon D.
82' Event
Al Sadi E.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland 2024 game between Algarna-Harnosand and Gottne IF finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Algarna-Harnosand.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Algarna-Harnosand
15%
Draws
85%
Gottne IF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gottne IF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Gottne IF carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Gottne IF taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Gottne IF here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Algarna-Harnosand Clean Sheet 20%
Gottne IF Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Algarna-Harnosand Gottne IF
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 2 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 22 13
Goals Scored 1.36 2.13
Goals Conceded 3.07 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Gottne IF vs Algarna-Harnosand
7:2
Jun 15, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Algarna-Harnosand vs Gottne IF
3:2
Oct 22, 2023 Division 2 - Norrland
Algarna-Harnosand vs Gottne IF
1:3
Jun 10, 2023 Division 2 - Norrland
Gottne IF vs Algarna-Harnosand
4:2
Jul 30, 2022 Division 2 - Norrland
Gottne IF vs Algarna-Harnosand
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Algarna-Harnosand Compare

Top Goalscorer Mokonen N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Sadi E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Gottne IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Harmon D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Palm N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Algarna-Harnosand 10 / 100
Gottne IF 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Algarna-Harnosand Gottne IF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gottne IF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Algarna-Harnosand's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Gottne IF has conceded goals in 91% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 5.60 goals as a typical output.

Gottne IF's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gottne IF
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Algarna-Harnosand

(Home)
19 Oct
Umea FF
4 : 0
Algarna-Harnosand
12 Oct
Algarna-Harnosand
0 : 3
Boden
06 Oct
Gottne IF
7 : 2
Algarna-Harnosand
28 Sept
Algarna-Harnosand
1 : 3
IFK Lulea
21 Sept
Algarna-Harnosand
0 : 3
Skelleftea
Page 1 of 6

Gottne IF

(Away)
03 Oct
Gottne IF
4 : 2
Boden
26 Sept
Skelleftea
0 : 3
Gottne IF
19 Sept
Gottne IF
1 : 4
Kubikenborgs
16 Sept
IFK Ostersund
4 : 0
Gottne IF
12 Sept
Lucksta IF
4 : 2
Gottne IF
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Umea FF 26 21 3 2 86:19 66
2 Boden 26 21 3 2 75:24 66
3 Bergnasets AIK 26 16 2 8 53:46 50
4 Skelleftea 26 14 5 7 54:32 47
5 IFK Ostersund 26 13 5 8 50:35 44
6 Ytterhogdal 26 13 5 8 44:36 44
7 IFK Lulea 26 11 7 8 40:41 40
8 Gottne IF 26 10 6 10 44:37 36
9 Umea FC Akademi 26 8 3 15 40:62 27
10 Kiruna 26 7 5 14 23:49 26
11 Lucksta IF 26 7 4 15 43:62 25
12 Taftea IK 26 7 3 16 38:56 24
13 Froso IF 26 4 2 20 33:78 14
14 Algarna-Harnosand 26 2 3 21 34:80 9
15 Sandvik 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2024 (Relegation)