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Algarna-Harnosand vs Lucksta IF

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Nuur H.
45' Event
Turay A.
85' Event
Nian B.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland 2024 game between Algarna-Harnosand and Lucksta IF finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lucksta IF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Algarna-Harnosand
15%
Draws
85%
Lucksta IF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lucksta IF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Algarna-Harnosand haven't matched Lucksta IF's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Lucksta IF's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Algarna-Harnosand Clean Sheet 20%
Lucksta IF Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Algarna-Harnosand Lucksta IF
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 3 14
Draws 4 3
Losses 22 15
Goals Scored 1.45 2
Goals Conceded 3.03 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Algarna-Harnosand vs Lucksta IF
0:4
Jun 19, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Lucksta IF vs Algarna-Harnosand
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Algarna-Harnosand Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Lucksta IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Nuur H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Turay A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Algarna-Harnosand 10 / 100
Lucksta IF 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Algarna-Harnosand Lucksta IF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Algarna-Harnosand scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Lucksta IF let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Lucksta IF has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lucksta IF
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Algarna-Harnosand

(Home)
19 Oct
Umea FF
4 : 0
Algarna-Harnosand
12 Oct
Algarna-Harnosand
0 : 3
Boden
06 Oct
Gottne IF
7 : 2
Algarna-Harnosand
28 Sept
Algarna-Harnosand
1 : 3
IFK Lulea
21 Sept
Algarna-Harnosand
0 : 3
Skelleftea
Page 1 of 6

Lucksta IF

(Away)
08 Aug
Skelleftea
3 : 0
Lucksta IF
01 Aug
Lucksta IF
3 : 0
Boden
28 Jun
Lucksta IF
3 : 0
Gottne IF
14 Jun
Lucksta IF
1 : 5
Umea FF
11 Jun
Kubikenborgs
3 : 1
Lucksta IF
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Umea FF 26 21 3 2 86:19 66
2 Boden 26 21 3 2 75:24 66
3 Bergnasets AIK 26 16 2 8 53:46 50
4 Skelleftea 26 14 5 7 54:32 47
5 IFK Ostersund 26 13 5 8 50:35 44
6 Ytterhogdal 26 13 5 8 44:36 44
7 IFK Lulea 26 11 7 8 40:41 40
8 Gottne IF 26 10 6 10 44:37 36
9 Umea FC Akademi 26 8 3 15 40:62 27
10 Kiruna 26 7 5 14 23:49 26
11 Lucksta IF 26 7 4 15 43:62 25
12 Taftea IK 26 7 3 16 38:56 24
13 Froso IF 26 4 2 20 33:78 14
14 Algarna-Harnosand 26 2 3 21 34:80 9
15 Sandvik 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2024 (Relegation)