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Algarna-Harnosand vs Umea FC Akademi

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Juneblad M.
13' Event
Forsman S.
25' Event
Eltoft A.

AI Match Summary

Algarna-Harnosand host Umea FC Akademi in the Division 2 - Norrland 2024. Umea FC Akademi are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Algarna-Harnosand at 0 goals for, 0 against; Umea FC Akademi at 1.38 for, 2.63 against. Past meetings favor Algarna-Harnosand slightly — 2-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 8, 2024, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Umea FC Akademi. Umea FC Akademi in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Algarna-Harnosand
11%
Draws
80%
Umea FC Akademi
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Umea FC Akademi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Umea FC Akademi has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Algarna-Harnosand.
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for Umea FC Akademi.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Division 2 - Norrland 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Algarna-Harnosand Clean Sheet 20%
Umea FC Akademi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Algarna-Harnosand Umea FC Akademi
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 2 6
Draws 4 8
Losses 22 18
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FC Akademi vs Algarna-Harnosand
1:1
May 4, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Algarna-Harnosand vs Umea FC Akademi
3:3
Jun 22, 2022 Division 2 - Norrland
Algarna-Harnosand vs Umea FC Akademi
2:1
Apr 9, 2022 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FC Akademi vs Algarna-Harnosand
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Algarna-Harnosand Compare

Top Goalscorer Gujea V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mokonen N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Umea FC Akademi Compare

Top Goalscorer Juneblad M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Forsman S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Algarna-Harnosand 12 / 100
Umea FC Akademi 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Algarna-Harnosand Umea FC Akademi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UME Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Algarna-Harnosand scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

Umea FC Akademi let in goals in 97% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Algarna-Harnosand went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Umea FC Akademi lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Umea FC Akademi
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Umea FF26213286:1966
2Boden26213275:2466
3Bergnasets AIK26162853:4650
4Skelleftea26145754:3247
5IFK Ostersund26135850:3544
6Ytterhogdal26135844:3644
7IFK Lulea26117840:4140
8Gottne IF261061044:3736
9Umea FC Akademi26831540:6227
10Kiruna26751423:4926
11Lucksta IF26741543:6225
12Taftea IK26731638:5624
13Froso IF26422033:7814
14Algarna-Harnosand26232134:809
15Sandvik00000:00