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Algeciras vs CD Guadalcacin Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 10 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 10 2018/2019 game between Algeciras and CD Guadalcacin finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Algeciras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Algeciras
15%
Draws
0%
CD Guadalcacin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Algeciras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • CD Guadalcacin haven't matched Algeciras's recent run of results.
  • Algeciras are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 10 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Algeciras Clean Sheet 68%
CD Guadalcacin Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Algeciras CD Guadalcacin
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 16 4
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 24
Goals Scored 1.36 0.56
Goals Conceded 1.09 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Algeciras vs CD Guadalcacin
3:0
Oct 21, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Guadalcacin vs Algeciras
2:3
Apr 15, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Guadalcacin vs Algeciras
1:1
Nov 19, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Algeciras vs CD Guadalcacin
2:0
Feb 19, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Guadalcacin vs Algeciras
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Algeciras 95 / 100
CD Guadalcacin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Algeciras CD Guadalcacin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Algeciras Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Algeciras's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

CD Guadalcacin let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

Away concern: CD Guadalcacin has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Algeciras VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Algeciras

(Home)
04 Oct
Algeciras
1 : 0
Rayo Majadahonda
26 Sept
Torremolinos
1 : 2
Algeciras
20 Sept
Algeciras
1 : 1
Aguilas FC
11 Sept
Gimnastic de Tarragona
4 : 2
Algeciras
04 Sept
Villarreal B
2 : 1
Algeciras
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CD Guadalcacin

(Away)
17 Aug
CD Guadalcacin
1 : 4
Antoniano
19 May
CD Guadalcacin
0 : 1
Ecija
11 May
Los Barrios
7 : 1
CD Guadalcacin
05 May
CD Guadalcacin
0 : 1
Cadiz B
28 Apr
Xerez CD
3 : 0
CD Guadalcacin
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cadiz B 42 23 14 5 48:18 83
2 AD Ceuta 42 24 8 10 68:42 80
3 CD Utrera 42 22 13 7 59:29 79
4 Algeciras 42 22 11 9 64:35 77
5 Xerez Deportivo FC 42 20 17 5 49:24 77
6 Betis B 42 23 7 12 93:40 76
7 Los Barrios 42 21 13 8 64:43 76
8 Cordoba B 42 19 14 9 67:39 71
9 Ciudad de Lucena 42 16 10 16 56:53 58
10 Xerez CD 42 13 18 11 45:42 57
11 Puente Genil 42 12 19 11 52:49 55
12 Lebrijana 42 14 10 18 47:65 52
13 Coria C.F. 42 13 12 17 53:52 51
14 Inter Sevilla 42 13 11 18 43:68 50
15 Sevilla C 42 14 8 20 39:49 50
16 San Roque de Lepe 42 13 10 19 52:61 49
17 Conil 42 11 16 15 47:55 49
18 Arcos CF 42 13 10 19 45:53 49
19 Ecija 42 13 9 20 37:48 48
20 Cabecense 42 7 9 26 39:80 30
21 Atletico Espeleno 42 7 8 27 45:91 29
22 CD Guadalcacin 42 3 5 34 21:97 14
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)