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Algeciras vs FC Cartagena SAD - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Primera RFEF - Group 2 Estadio Nuevo Mirador, Algeciras
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Richarte R.
Assist: Ribeiro I.
26'
Richarte R.
29' Event
Ruiz V.
Assist: Aviles J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 2 game between Algeciras and FC Cartagena SAD finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Cartagena SAD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Algeciras
30%
Draws
37%
FC Cartagena SAD
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Cartagena SAD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • FC Cartagena SAD have managed 1.04 goals a game lately — Algeciras are scoring more at 1.11.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Algeciras Clean Sheet 20%
FC Cartagena SAD Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Algeciras FC Cartagena SAD
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.11 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.29 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Algeciras vs FC Cartagena SAD
1:3
May 1, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Algeciras vs FC Cartagena SAD
2:2
Oct 17, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
FC Cartagena SAD vs Algeciras
2:0
Feb 23, 2020 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Algeciras vs FC Cartagena SAD
1:1
Oct 6, 2019 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
FC Cartagena SAD vs Algeciras
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Algeciras Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruiz V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

FC Cartagena SAD Compare

Top Goalscorer Richarte R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Algeciras 36 / 100
FC Cartagena SAD 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Algeciras FC Cartagena SAD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Cartagena SAD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Algeciras scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Algeciras remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

FC Cartagena SAD let in goals in 56% of their last 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Algeciras VS FC Cartagena SAD
1 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Algeciras

(Home)
04 Oct
Algeciras
1 : 0
Rayo Majadahonda
26 Sept
Torremolinos
1 : 2
Algeciras
20 Sept
Algeciras
1 : 1
Aguilas FC
11 Sept
Gimnastic de Tarragona
4 : 2
Algeciras
04 Sept
Villarreal B
2 : 1
Algeciras
Page 1 of 6

FC Cartagena SAD

(Away)
07 Oct
FC Cartagena SAD
1 : 0
Murcia
03 Oct
FC Cartagena SAD
4 : 1
Aguilas FC
20 Sept
Zaragoza
1 : 0
FC Cartagena SAD
12 Sept
Rayo Majadahonda
1 : 1
FC Cartagena SAD
05 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD
0 : 0
Gimnastic de Tarragona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaragoza 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Villarreal B 7 4 2 1 15:9 14
3 Alcorcon 7 3 3 1 13:5 12
4 Jaen 7 3 3 1 11:8 12
5 Murcia 6 4 0 2 10:7 12
6 FC Cartagena SAD 6 3 2 1 9:4 11
7 Huesca 7 2 4 1 9:9 10
8 UD Ibiza 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
9 Hercules 6 3 1 2 5:5 10
10 Antequera 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
11 Real Madrid B 7 2 3 2 8:7 9
12 Atl. Madrid B 6 2 2 2 11:8 8
13 Sant Andreu 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
14 Gimnastic de Tarragona 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
15 Algeciras 6 2 1 3 8:11 7
16 Aguilas FC 7 1 3 3 7:12 6
17 Teruel 7 1 2 4 3:12 5
18 Rayo Majadahonda 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
19 CE Europa 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
20 Torremolinos 7 0 2 5 8:18 2
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)