Sport Picks
Algeciras vs Gimnastic de Tarragona
Spain
Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Estadio Nuevo Mirador, Algeciras 
Match Events
5'
5'
Aviles J.
9'
9'
Aviles J.
46'
46'
Sub
Martinez P. In: Jimenez A.
Out: Martinez P.
AI Match Summary
The Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Algeciras and Gimnastic de Tarragona finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Algeciras.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gimnastic de Tarragona
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Algeciras come out ahead of Gimnastic de Tarragona on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Algeciras Clean Sheet 20%
Gimnastic de Tarragona Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Algeciras | Gimnastic de Tarragona |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 11, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Gimnastic de Tarragona vs Algeciras
4:2
Mar 22, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Algeciras vs Gimnastic de Tarragona
1:0
Aug 29, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Gimnastic de Tarragona vs Algeciras
2:1
Feb 13, 2022 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Gimnastic de Tarragona vs Algeciras
1:0
Nov 21, 2021 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Algeciras vs Gimnastic de Tarragona
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Algeciras Compare
Top Goalscorer Aviles J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Gimnastic de Tarragona Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Algeciras 32 / 100
Gimnastic de Tarragona 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Algeciras Gimnastic de Tarragona
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gimnastic de Tarragona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gimnastic de Tarragona's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.
Algeciras scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Algeciras stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Algeciras VS Gimnastic de Tarragona
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Algeciras
(Home) 26 Sept
Torremolinos
1 : 2 Algeciras
20 Sept
Algeciras
1 : 1 Aguilas FC
11 Sept
Gimnastic de Tarragona
4 : 2 Algeciras
04 Sept
Villarreal B
2 : 1 Algeciras
29 Aug
Algeciras
1 : 3 FC Cartagena SAD
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Algeciras
1 : 1 Aguilas FC
29 Aug
Algeciras
1 : 3 FC Cartagena SAD
07 Aug
Algeciras
1 : 0 Atletico Paso
01 Aug
Algeciras
1 : 2 Tottenham U21
16 May
Algeciras
0 : 2 Hercules
Page 1 of 3
Gimnastic de Tarragona
(Away) 26 Sept
Gimnastic de Tarragona
1 : 2 Sant Andreu
20 Sept
Alcorcon
3 : 0 Gimnastic de Tarragona
11 Sept
Gimnastic de Tarragona
4 : 2 Algeciras
05 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD
0 : 0 Gimnastic de Tarragona
30 Aug
Gimnastic de Tarragona
2 : 0 Zaragoza
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Alcorcon
3 : 0 Gimnastic de Tarragona
05 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD
0 : 0 Gimnastic de Tarragona
22 Aug
Espanyol B
3 : 0 Gimnastic de Tarragona
19 Aug
Villarreal B
2 : 0 Gimnastic de Tarragona
01 Aug
Olot
1 : 1 Gimnastic de Tarragona
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eldense | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 57:39 | 69 |
| 2 | Sabadell | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 53:27 | 68 |
| 3 | Atl. Madrid B | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 64:44 | 67 |
| 4 | Villarreal B | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 54:32 | 63 |
| 5 | CE Europa | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 55:50 | 60 |
| 6 | FC Cartagena SAD | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 37:38 | 57 |
| 7 | Antequera | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 47:44 | 56 |
| 8 | Algeciras | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 40:41 | 55 |
| 9 | Hercules | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 43:41 | 54 |
| 10 | Murcia | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 43:40 | 52 |
| 11 | Alcorcon | 38 | 12 | 15 | 11 | 44:38 | 51 |
| 12 | UD Ibiza | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 44:38 | 50 |
| 13 | Teruel | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 27:33 | 49 |
| 14 | Gimnastic de Tarragona | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 40:49 | 47 |
| 15 | Torremolinos | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 45:51 | 46 |
| 16 | Betis B | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 48:59 | 45 |
| 17 | Tarazona | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 31:40 | 45 |
| 18 | Marbella | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 36:55 | 34 |
| 19 | Sanluqueno | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 27:53 | 31 |
| 20 | Sevilla B | 38 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 21:44 | 28 |
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
