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Algeciras vs Rayo Majadahonda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 Estadio Nuevo Mirador, Algeciras
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Gomez A.
28'
Gallardo D.
41'
Gonzaga M.

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 2 game between Algeciras and Rayo Majadahonda finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Algeciras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Algeciras
20%
Draws
29%
Rayo Majadahonda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Algeciras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Rayo Majadahonda's 1.38 goals per match outpaces what Algeciras have produced (1.17).
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Algeciras taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Algeciras here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Algeciras Clean Sheet 20%
Rayo Majadahonda Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Algeciras Rayo Majadahonda
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.17 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.24 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Algeciras vs Rayo Majadahonda
1:0
Apr 9, 2023 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Rayo Majadahonda vs Algeciras
0:2
Sep 3, 2022 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Algeciras vs Rayo Majadahonda
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Algeciras Compare

Top Goalscorer Carmona F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Rayo Majadahonda Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Algeciras 42 / 100
Rayo Majadahonda 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Algeciras Rayo Majadahonda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Algeciras's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Rayo Majadahonda has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Algeciras remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Algeciras VS Rayo Majadahonda
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Algeciras

(Home)
04 Oct
Algeciras
1 : 0
Rayo Majadahonda
26 Sept
Torremolinos
1 : 2
Algeciras
20 Sept
Algeciras
1 : 1
Aguilas FC
11 Sept
Gimnastic de Tarragona
4 : 2
Algeciras
04 Sept
Villarreal B
2 : 1
Algeciras
Page 1 of 6

Rayo Majadahonda

(Away)
04 Oct
Algeciras
1 : 0
Rayo Majadahonda
27 Sept
CE Europa
1 : 0
Rayo Majadahonda
19 Sept
Rayo Majadahonda
2 : 0
Teruel
12 Sept
Rayo Majadahonda
1 : 1
FC Cartagena SAD
05 Sept
UD Ibiza
2 : 1
Rayo Majadahonda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaragoza 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Villarreal B 7 4 2 1 15:9 14
3 Alcorcon 7 3 3 1 13:5 12
4 Jaen 7 3 3 1 11:8 12
5 Murcia 6 4 0 2 10:7 12
6 FC Cartagena SAD 6 3 2 1 9:4 11
7 Huesca 7 2 4 1 9:9 10
8 UD Ibiza 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
9 Hercules 6 3 1 2 5:5 10
10 Antequera 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
11 Real Madrid B 7 2 3 2 8:7 9
12 Atl. Madrid B 6 2 2 2 11:8 8
13 Sant Andreu 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
14 Gimnastic de Tarragona 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
15 Algeciras 6 2 1 3 8:11 7
16 Aguilas FC 7 1 3 3 7:12 6
17 Teruel 7 1 2 4 3:12 5
18 Rayo Majadahonda 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
19 CE Europa 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
20 Torremolinos 7 0 2 5 8:18 2
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)