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Algeciras vs Xerez Deportivo FC

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Club Friendly 2025
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Algeciras
6%
Draws
4%
Xerez Deportivo FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Algeciras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Algeciras have won more games recently than Xerez Deportivo FC.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Algeciras taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Algeciras Clean Sheet 20%
Xerez Deportivo FC Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Algeciras Xerez Deportivo FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 8 10
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 0.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2025 Club Friendly
Algeciras vs Xerez Deportivo FC
1:1
Aug 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Xerez Deportivo FC vs Algeciras
1:0
Feb 24, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Xerez Deportivo FC vs Algeciras
0:0
Oct 14, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Algeciras vs Xerez Deportivo FC
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Algeciras 85 / 100
Xerez Deportivo FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Algeciras Xerez Deportivo FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Algeciras's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Xerez Deportivo FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Algeciras went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Xerez Deportivo FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Algeciras VS Xerez Deportivo FC
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%