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Algeria vs Guatemala

World World

Friendly International Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Gouiri A.
Assist: Zerrouki R.
31' Event
Mahrez R.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Abada A.
Assist: Amoura M.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Algeria and Guatemala finished 7-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Algeria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Algeria
15%
Draws
26%
Guatemala
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Algeria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Algeria come out ahead of Guatemala on wins alone.
  • Algeria are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Algeria Clean Sheet 68%
Guatemala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Algeria Guatemala
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 10
Draws 8 5
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.9 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.29 0.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Friendly International
Algeria vs Guatemala
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Algeria Compare

Top Goalscorer Gouiri A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Abada A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.15

Guatemala Compare

Avg xG / game 0.36
Avg xA / game 0.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Algeria 95 / 100
Guatemala 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Algeria Guatemala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Algeria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guatemala has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Algeria scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Algeria went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Algeria VS Guatemala
2.25 Goals Scored 0.17
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.33
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Algeria

(Home)
03 Jul
Switzerland
2 : 0
Algeria
28 Jun
Algeria
3 : 3
Austria
23 Jun
Jordan
1 : 2
Algeria
17 Jun
Argentina
3 : 0
Algeria
11 Jun
Bolivia
0 : 4
Algeria
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Guatemala

(Away)
07 Jun
Ecuador
3 : 0
Guatemala
05 Jun
Czech Republic
3 : 1
Guatemala
27 Mar
Algeria
7 : 0
Guatemala
18 Jan
Canada
1 : 0
Guatemala
19 Nov
Guatemala
3 : 1
Suriname
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