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Stadium Background

Algeria vs Iraq

World World

FIFA Arab Cup Khalifa International Stadium, Al Rayyan
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Al Saedi H.
32'
Sub
Ali M. In: Yahya A.
Out: Ali M.
45' Event
Tougai M.
Assist: Berkane R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Algeria
20%
Draws
10%
Iraq
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Algeria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Algeria carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Algeria taking it.
  • Algeria have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Algeria, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Algeria Clean Sheet 68%
Iraq Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Algeria Iraq
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.9 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.15 0.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 9, 2025 FIFA Arab Cup
Algeria vs Iraq
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Algeria Compare

Top Goalscorer Tougai M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.07

Iraq Compare

Avg xG / game 0.49
Avg xA / game 0.3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Algeria 95 / 100
Iraq 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Algeria Iraq

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Algeria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Algeria's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Iraq conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Algeria has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Algeria VS Iraq
2 Goals Scored 0.71
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.29
50% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Algeria

(Home)
03 Jul
Switzerland
2 : 0
Algeria
28 Jun
Algeria
3 : 3
Austria
23 Jun
Jordan
1 : 2
Algeria
17 Jun
Argentina
3 : 0
Algeria
11 Jun
Bolivia
0 : 4
Algeria
Page 1 of 6

Iraq

(Away)
26 Jun
Senegal
5 : 0
Iraq
22 Jun
France
3 : 0
Iraq
16 Jun
Iraq
1 : 4
Norway
10 Jun
Iraq
0 : 2
Venezuela
04 Jun
Spain
1 : 1
Iraq
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palestine 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
2 Syria 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Tunisia 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Saudi Arabia 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Oman 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Comoros 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jordan 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 United Arab Emirates 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Egypt 3 0 2 1 2:5 2
4 Kuwait 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 Iraq 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Bahrain 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
4 Sudan 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)