Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Algeria vs Nigeria

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Stade de Marrakech, Marrakech
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Zerrouki R.
28'
Amoura M.
47' Event
Osimhen V.
Assist: Onyemaechi B.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Nigeria advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Algeria
30%
Draws
37%
Nigeria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nigeria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Algeria carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Algeria have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Algeria, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Algeria Clean Sheet 18%
Nigeria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Algeria Nigeria
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 18 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.87 1.69
Goals Conceded 0.77 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations
Algeria vs Nigeria
0:2
Sep 27, 2022 Friendly International
Algeria vs Nigeria
2:1
Oct 9, 2020 Friendly International
Nigeria vs Algeria
0:1
Jul 14, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations
Algeria vs Nigeria
2:1
Nov 10, 2017 World Championship
Algeria vs Nigeria
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Algeria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Nigeria Compare

Top Goalscorer Osimhen V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adams A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Algeria 32 / 100
Nigeria 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Algeria Nigeria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nigeria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Algeria found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Nigeria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Algeria has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Algeria VS Nigeria
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Algeria

(Home)
03 Jul
Switzerland
2 : 0
Algeria
28 Jun
Algeria
3 : 3
Austria
23 Jun
Jordan
1 : 2
Algeria
17 Jun
Argentina
3 : 0
Algeria
11 Jun
Bolivia
0 : 4
Algeria
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Nigeria

(Away)
10 Jun
Portugal
2 : 1
Nigeria
03 Jun
Poland
2 : 2
Nigeria
30 May
Jamaica
0 : 3
Nigeria
26 May
Nigeria
2 : 0
Zimbabwe
31 Mar
Jordan
2 : 2
Nigeria
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Mali 2
Tunisia 1
Senegal 3
Sudan 1
Egypt 3
Benin 1
Ivory Coast 3
Burkina Faso 0
Algeria 1
D.R. Congo 0
Nigeria 4
Mozambique 0
South Africa 1
Cameroon 2
Morocco 1
Tanzania 0
Quarter-finals
Mali 0
Senegal 1
Egypt 3
Ivory Coast 2
Algeria 0
Nigeria 2
Cameroon 0
Morocco 2
Semi-finals
Senegal 1
Egypt 0
Nigeria 0
Morocco 1
Final
Senegal 0
Morocco 3
Egypt 0
Nigeria 1