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Algeria vs Sudan Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

FIFA Arab Cup Ahmad bin Ali Stadium, Al Rayyan
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Bendebka S.
41'
Ounas A.
45'
Ounas A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. The second leg ended 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Algeria
15%
Draws
39%
Sudan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Algeria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Algeria carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Algeria have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Algeria, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Algeria Clean Sheet 68%
Sudan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Algeria Sudan
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 17 7
Draws 7 8
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.9 0.73
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 24, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations
Algeria vs Sudan
3:0
Dec 3, 2025 FIFA Arab Cup
Algeria vs Sudan
0:0
Aug 23, 2025 African Nations Championship
Sudan vs Algeria
2:1
Sep 29, 2022 Friendly International
Algeria vs Sudan
2:0
Dec 1, 2021 FIFA Arab Cup
Algeria vs Sudan
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Algeria 41 / 100
Sudan 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Algeria Sudan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Algeria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Algeria found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Sudan has conceded goals in 62% of their last 26 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Algeria went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Algeria VS Sudan
2.13 Goals Scored 0.33
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.83
50% Over 1.5 33%
38% Over 2.5 17%
38% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Algeria

(Home)
25 Sept
Algeria
3 : 1
Zambia
03 Jul
Switzerland
2 : 0
Algeria
28 Jun
Algeria
3 : 3
Austria
23 Jun
Jordan
1 : 2
Algeria
17 Jun
Argentina
3 : 0
Algeria
Page 1 of 6

Sudan

(Away)
25 Sept
Sudan
1 : 0
Ethiopia
03 Jan
Senegal
3 : 1
Sudan
31 Dec
Sudan
0 : 2
Burkina Faso
28 Dec
Equatorial Guinea
0 : 1
Sudan
24 Dec
Algeria
3 : 0
Sudan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palestine 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
2 Syria 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Tunisia 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Saudi Arabia 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Oman 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Comoros 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jordan 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 United Arab Emirates 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Egypt 3 0 2 1 2:5 2
4 Kuwait 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 Iraq 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Bahrain 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
4 Sudan 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)