Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Stade 19 Mai 1956, Annaba

Algeria

5 - 1

Togo

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Klidje T.

Assist: Placca F.

29'

Benrahma S.

Assist: Zerrouki R.

46'

Sub

Zorgane A. In: Boudaoui H.

Out: Zorgane A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Algeria in this Africa Cup of Nations 2025 tie, finishing 5-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%

Algeria

35%

Draws

37%

Togo

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Togo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence

Togo haven't matched Algeria's recent run of results.
37% — that's where the model lands on Togo taking it.
Algeria have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Algeria, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Algeria have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%

Algeria Clean Sheet 20%

Togo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Algeria	Togo
Matches Played	34	28
Wins	21	6
Draws	8	13
Losses	5	9
Goals Scored	2.09	1
Goals Conceded	0.76	1.18
Expected Goals (xG)	1.40	1.22
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Togo vs Algeria

0:1

Oct 10, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Algeria vs Togo

5:1

Jan 5, 2024 Friendly International

Togo vs Algeria

0:3

Apr 10, 2022 Friendly International

Algeria vs Togo

0:0

Apr 7, 2022 Friendly International

Algeria vs Togo

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Algeria Compare

Top Goalscorer Benrahma S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Aouar H.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.08

Avg xA / game 0.7

Togo Compare

Top Goalscorer Klidje T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.11

Avg xA / game 0.68

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Algeria 28 / 100

Togo 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Algeria Togo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Togo Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Algeria scored in 79% of their last 34 games.

Defensive concern: Togo conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Algeria went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Algeria VS Togo

2 Goals Scored 1.8

0.63 Goals Conceded 0.8

63% Over 1.5 60%

50% Over 2.5 40%

25% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Algeria

(Home)

03 Jul

Switzerland

2 : 0

Algeria

28 Jun

Algeria

3 : 3

Austria

23 Jun

Jordan

1 : 2

Algeria

17 Jun

Argentina

3 : 0

Algeria

11 Jun

Bolivia

0 : 4

Algeria

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Togo

(Away)

09 Jun

Togo

5 : 1

Benin

05 Jun

Central Africa

1 : 1

Togo

31 Mar

Niger

0 : 1

Togo

27 Mar

Guinea

2 : 2

Togo

13 Oct

South Sudan

0 : 0

Togo

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