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Alghero vs Canavese

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Serie C2/A 2009/2010
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AI Match Summary

The Serie C2/A 2009/2010 game between Alghero and Canavese finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Alghero
15%
Draws
42%
Canavese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alghero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Canavese come out ahead of Alghero on wins alone.
  • Canavese are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Alghero Clean Sheet 10%
Canavese Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alghero Canavese
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 12
Draws 11 9
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 0.83 2.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2010 Lega Pro C2/A
Alghero vs Canavese
3:3
Nov 29, 2009 Lega Pro C2/A
Canavese vs Alghero
1:0
Mar 8, 2009 Lega Pro C2/A
Canavese vs Alghero
0:0
Oct 19, 2008 Lega Pro C2/A
Alghero vs Canavese
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alghero 22 / 100
Canavese 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alghero Canavese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canavese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alghero scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Canavese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Canavese registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alghero VS Canavese
0.67 Goals Scored 1.13
4.33 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 38%
67% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alghero

(Home)
11 Aug
Latte Dolce
4 : 2
Alghero
31 Jul
Sassari Torres
7 : 0
Alghero
13 Aug
Sassari Torres
2 : 0
Alghero
09 May
Alghero
3 : 0
Pro Belvedere V.
02 May
Spezia
2 : 0
Alghero
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Canavese

(Away)
08 May
Sambonifacese
2 : 0
Canavese
01 May
Canavese
0 : 1
Savona
23 Apr
Rodengo Saiano
0 : 1
Canavese
17 Apr
Canavese
1 : 3
Valenzana
10 Apr
Pro Vercelli
2 : 1
Canavese
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sudtirol 34 18 9 7 33:23 63
2 Spezia 34 16 12 6 47:27 60
3 Legnano 34 16 11 7 49:31 59
4 Alghero 34 15 12 7 43:25 57
5 FeralpiSalo 34 14 15 5 41:32 57
6 Pavia 34 15 12 7 49:32 57
7 Rodengo Saiano 34 12 14 8 40:32 50
8 Crociati 34 9 15 10 36:37 42
9 Olbia 34 8 18 8 32:27 42
10 Sambonifacese 34 10 12 12 44:46 42
11 Valenzana 34 9 14 11 24:29 41
12 Pro Vercelli 34 11 8 15 31:37 41
13 Canavese 34 9 13 12 31:39 40
14 Mezzocorona 34 11 6 17 42:46 39
15 Villacidrese 34 10 9 15 38:43 39
16 Carpenedolo 34 9 8 17 34:50 35
17 Pro Belvedere V. 34 5 13 16 15:39 28
18 Pro Sesto 34 5 7 22 24:58 22
Relegation - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Out)
Promotion - Serie C1/A 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Offs)