Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Serie C2/A 2009/2010 game between Alghero and Carpenedolo finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alghero.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alghero
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Alghero carry the better recent record into this one.
- Alghero are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular Serie C2/A 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Alghero Clean Sheet 20%
Carpenedolo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alghero | Carpenedolo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 5 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 0.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 17, 2010 Lega Pro C2/A
Alghero vs Carpenedolo
3:0
Sep 6, 2009 Lega Pro C2/A
Carpenedolo vs Alghero
3:1
Mar 1, 2009 Lega Pro C2/A
Alghero vs Carpenedolo
1:0
Oct 12, 2008 Lega Pro C2/A
Carpenedolo vs Alghero
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alghero 49 / 100
Carpenedolo 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alghero Carpenedolo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alghero Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Carpenedolo let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Alghero's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
Carpenedolo lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Alghero VS Carpenedolo
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Alghero
(Home) 11 Aug
Latte Dolce
4 : 2 Alghero
31 Jul
Sassari Torres
7 : 0 Alghero
13 Aug
Sassari Torres
2 : 0 Alghero
09 May
Alghero
3 : 0 Pro Belvedere V.
02 May
Spezia
2 : 0 Alghero
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09 May
Alghero
3 : 0 Pro Belvedere V.
25 Apr
Alghero
3 : 3 Canavese
11 Apr
Alghero
1 : 1 Pavia
28 Mar
Alghero
3 : 2 Villacidrese
07 Mar
Alghero
1 : 0 Pro Vercelli
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Carpenedolo
(Away) 07 Aug
Carpenedolo
0 : 6 Mantova
14 Aug
Carpenedolo
0 : 2 Ospitaletto
30 May
Villacidrese
1 : 0 Carpenedolo
23 May
Carpenedolo
2 : 2 Villacidrese
09 May
Carpenedolo
0 : 1 Mezzocorona
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30 May
Villacidrese
1 : 0 Carpenedolo
02 May
Villacidrese
3 : 0 Carpenedolo
21 Apr
Olbia
3 : 0 Carpenedolo
11 Apr
FeralpiSalo
3 : 1 Carpenedolo
28 Mar
Pro Vercelli
1 : 2 Carpenedolo
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sudtirol | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 33:23 | 63 |
| 2 | Spezia | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 47:27 | 60 |
| 3 | Legnano | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 49:31 | 59 |
| 4 | Alghero | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 43:25 | 57 |
| 5 | FeralpiSalo | 34 | 14 | 15 | 5 | 41:32 | 57 |
| 6 | Pavia | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 49:32 | 57 |
| 7 | Rodengo Saiano | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 40:32 | 50 |
| 8 | Crociati | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 36:37 | 42 |
| 9 | Olbia | 34 | 8 | 18 | 8 | 32:27 | 42 |
| 10 | Sambonifacese | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 44:46 | 42 |
| 11 | Valenzana | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 24:29 | 41 |
| 12 | Pro Vercelli | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31:37 | 41 |
| 13 | Canavese | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 31:39 | 40 |
| 14 | Mezzocorona | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 42:46 | 39 |
| 15 | Villacidrese | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:43 | 39 |
| 16 | Carpenedolo | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 34:50 | 35 |
| 17 | Pro Belvedere V. | 34 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 15:39 | 28 |
| 18 | Pro Sesto | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 24:58 | 22 |
Relegation - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Out)
Promotion - Serie C1/A 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Offs)
