Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie C2/A 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pavia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Pavia have won more games recently than Alghero.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Serie C2/A 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Alghero Clean Sheet 10%
Pavia Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alghero | Pavia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 35 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 11 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.26 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 3.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2010 Lega Pro C2/A
Alghero vs Pavia
1:1
Nov 15, 2009 Lega Pro C2/A
Pavia vs Alghero
0:2
Mar 29, 2009 Lega Pro C2/A
Alghero vs Pavia
1:4
Nov 2, 2008 Lega Pro C2/A
Pavia vs Alghero
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alghero 30 / 100
Pavia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alghero Pavia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pavia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alghero scored in 60% of their last 30 games.
Pavia let in goals in 60% of their last 35 matches.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Difficult form: Pavia registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Alghero VS Pavia
1 Goals Scored 0.88
5.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 25%
100% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Alghero
(Home) 11 Aug
Latte Dolce
4 : 2 Alghero
31 Jul
Sassari Torres
7 : 0 Alghero
13 Aug
Sassari Torres
2 : 0 Alghero
09 May
Alghero
3 : 0 Pro Belvedere V.
02 May
Spezia
2 : 0 Alghero
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09 May
Alghero
3 : 0 Pro Belvedere V.
25 Apr
Alghero
3 : 3 Canavese
11 Apr
Alghero
1 : 1 Pavia
28 Mar
Alghero
3 : 2 Villacidrese
07 Mar
Alghero
1 : 0 Pro Vercelli
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Pavia
(Away) 25 Jul
Pavia
0 : 4 AlbinoLeffe
19 Jul
Pisa
6 : 1 Pavia
10 May
Breno
0 : 1 Pavia
03 May
Chievo
2 : 1 Pavia
26 Apr
Pavia
3 : 0 Ciserano-Bergamo
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19 Jul
Pisa
6 : 1 Pavia
10 May
Breno
0 : 1 Pavia
03 May
Chievo
2 : 1 Pavia
19 Apr
USD Casatese
1 : 0 Pavia
02 Apr
AC Leon
3 : 1 Pavia
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sudtirol | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 33:23 | 63 |
| 2 | Spezia | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 47:27 | 60 |
| 3 | Legnano | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 49:31 | 59 |
| 4 | Alghero | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 43:25 | 57 |
| 5 | FeralpiSalo | 34 | 14 | 15 | 5 | 41:32 | 57 |
| 6 | Pavia | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 49:32 | 57 |
| 7 | Rodengo Saiano | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 40:32 | 50 |
| 8 | Crociati | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 36:37 | 42 |
| 9 | Olbia | 34 | 8 | 18 | 8 | 32:27 | 42 |
| 10 | Sambonifacese | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 44:46 | 42 |
| 11 | Valenzana | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 24:29 | 41 |
| 12 | Pro Vercelli | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31:37 | 41 |
| 13 | Canavese | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 31:39 | 40 |
| 14 | Mezzocorona | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 42:46 | 39 |
| 15 | Villacidrese | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:43 | 39 |
| 16 | Carpenedolo | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 34:50 | 35 |
| 17 | Pro Belvedere V. | 34 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 15:39 | 28 |
| 18 | Pro Sesto | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 24:58 | 22 |
Relegation - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Out)
Promotion - Serie C1/A 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Offs)
