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Alhama W vs Atl. Madrid W Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Copa de la Reina Women
Alhama W Logo

Alhama W

Sun, Dec 21, 2025
1 - 2
06:00 PM
Atl. Madrid W Logo

Atl. Madrid W

Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Garcia G.
Assist: Iannuzzi F.
46'
Sub
Relea Y. In: Martinez B.
Out: Relea Y.
57'
Navarro E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Alhama W
15%
Draws
28%
Atl. Madrid W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alhama W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atl. Madrid W lately — more wins on the board than Alhama W.
  • Win probability leans Alhama W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Atl. Madrid W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Atl. Madrid W, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Atl. Madrid W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Alhama W Clean Sheet 19%
Atl. Madrid W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alhama W Atl. Madrid W
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 6 14
Draws 2 5
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 1.1 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Liga F Women
Alhama W vs Atl. Madrid W
1:2
Dec 21, 2025 Copa de la Reina Women
Alhama W vs Atl. Madrid W
1:2
Nov 1, 2025 Liga F Women
Atl. Madrid W vs Alhama W
4:0
May 23, 2023 Copa de la Reina Women
Alhama W vs Atl. Madrid W
0:4
Mar 19, 2023 Liga F Women
Alhama W vs Atl. Madrid W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alhama W Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Atl. Madrid W Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alhama W 85 / 100
Atl. Madrid W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alhama W Atl. Madrid W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alhama W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Atl. Madrid W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Alhama W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Atl. Madrid W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alhama W VS Atl. Madrid W
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alhama W

(Home)
26 Sept
Alhama W
2 : 1
Albacete W
20 Sept
Real Madrid B W
0 : 1
Alhama W
13 Sept
Alhama W
4 : 0
Levante W
22 Aug
Alhama W
5 : 0
Almeria W
16 Aug
Alhama W
1 : 3
Villarreal W
Page 1 of 6

Atl. Madrid W

(Away)
27 Sept
Athletic Bilbao W
3 : 2
Atl. Madrid W
19 Sept
Atl. Madrid W
1 : 0
Logrono W
12 Sept
Barcelona W
4 : 2
Atl. Madrid W
06 Sept
Atl. Madrid W
1 : 0
Alaves W
30 Aug
Real Madrid W
3 : 2
Atl. Madrid W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Guiniguada Apolinario W 1
Dep. A Coruna W 3
TBD -
Real Sociedad W -
CA Osasuna W 0
Badalona W 3
TBD -
Granada CF W -
Valencia W 1
Espanyol W 2
TBD -
Real Madrid W -
Alaves W 4
Levante W 0
TBD -
Barcelona W -
Sport Extremadura CD W 1
Alhama W 2
TBD -
Atl. Madrid W -
CE Europa W 2
Logrono W 1
TBD -
Athletic Bilbao W -
Huelva W 1
Madrid CFF W 7
TBD -
Eibar W -
Real Oviedo W 2
Sevilla W 3
TBD -
Costa Adeje Tenerife W -
1/8-finals
Dep. A Coruna W 1
Real Sociedad W 4
Badalona W 1
Granada CF W 0
Espanyol W 0
Real Madrid W 4
Alaves W 1
Barcelona W 6
Alhama W 1
Atl. Madrid W 2
CE Europa W 0
Athletic Bilbao W 3
Madrid CFF W 3
Eibar W 2
Sevilla W 1
Costa Adeje Tenerife W 2
Quarter-finals
Real Sociedad W 0
Badalona W 1
Real Madrid W 0
Barcelona W 4
Atl. Madrid W 4
Athletic Bilbao W 1
Madrid CFF W 0
Costa Adeje Tenerife W 1
Semi-finals
Badalona W 1
Barcelona W 4
Atl. Madrid W 2
Costa Adeje Tenerife W 0
Final
Barcelona W 3
Atl. Madrid W 1