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Alhaurin vs Atletico Melilla

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Alhaurin
15%
Draws
0%
Atletico Melilla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alhaurin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alhaurin lately — more wins on the board than Atletico Melilla.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Alhaurin taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Alhaurin Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Melilla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alhaurin Atletico Melilla
Matches Played 39 31
Wins 12 2
Draws 8 4
Losses 19 25
Goals Scored 1.05 0.52
Goals Conceded 1.56 3.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Alhaurin vs Atletico Melilla
0:0
Nov 29, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico Melilla vs Alhaurin
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alhaurin 85 / 100
Atletico Melilla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alhaurin Atletico Melilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alhaurin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Atletico Melilla conceded in 94% of 31 recent games.

Atletico Melilla's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Alhaurin found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (39 games).

Alhaurin has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Atletico Melilla
0 Goals Scored 0.13
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alhaurin

(Home)
24 Apr
Marbella
5 : 0
Alhaurin
17 Apr
Alhaurin
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
09 Apr
Huetor Tajar
4 : 1
Alhaurin
03 Apr
Alhaurin
0 : 0
Torremolinos
27 Mar
Atletico de Porcuna
0 : 1
Alhaurin
Page 1 of 8

Atletico Melilla

(Away)
26 Sept
Pinatar
8 : 0
Atletico Melilla
04 Oct
Atletico Palma del Rio
5 : 0
Atletico Melilla
27 Sept
Atletico Melilla
0 : 5
Atletico Palma del Rio
12 May
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
10 : 0
Atletico Melilla
04 May
Atletico Melilla
2 : 4
CP Almeria
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linares 38 27 7 4 88:26 88
2 Malaga B 38 23 6 9 69:36 75
3 UD San Pedro 38 21 10 7 65:35 73
4 Martos 38 22 5 11 66:42 71
5 Loja 38 20 9 9 55:36 69
6 Huetor Tajar 38 17 11 10 53:37 62
7 Los Villares 38 15 13 10 43:37 58
8 Maracena 38 16 9 13 66:52 57
9 Guadix 38 11 18 9 49:49 51
10 Mancha 38 13 11 14 36:34 50
11 Velez 38 13 10 15 49:47 49
12 Espanol Alquian 38 14 6 18 53:70 48
13 Ejido 38 13 8 17 55:75 47
14 CD Ronda 38 12 7 19 52:63 43
15 Antequera 38 10 12 16 51:55 42
16 Alhaurin 38 11 8 19 43:74 41
17 Atarfe Industrial 38 9 10 19 53:70 37
18 Villacarrillo 38 8 7 23 32:64 31
19 Atletico Melilla 38 7 9 22 29:58 30
20 Los Molinos CF 38 6 8 24 32:79 26
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)