Sport Picks
Alhaurin vs River Melilla
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 9 2016/2017 
AI Match Summary
River Melilla in this Tercera Division - Group 9 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored River Melilla.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alhaurin
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- River Melilla haven't matched Alhaurin's recent run of results.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Alhaurin taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Alhaurin Clean Sheet 17%
River Melilla Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alhaurin | River Melilla |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 2 |
| Draws | 7 | 0 |
| Losses | 16 | 28 |
| Goals Scored | 1.15 | 0.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 3.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 27, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
River Melilla vs Alhaurin
1:5
Dec 14, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Alhaurin vs River Melilla
2:1
May 14, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Alhaurin vs River Melilla
2:4
Dec 18, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
River Melilla vs Alhaurin
2:2
Apr 10, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Alhaurin vs River Melilla
4:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alhaurin 84 / 100
River Melilla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alhaurin River Melilla
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alhaurin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
River Melilla let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.
River Melilla lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Alhaurin scored in 65% of their last 34 outings.
Scoring Trends
Alhaurin VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Alhaurin
(Home) 24 Apr
Marbella
5 : 0 Alhaurin
17 Apr
Alhaurin
2 : 0 CD Alhaurino
09 Apr
Huetor Tajar
4 : 1 Alhaurin
03 Apr
Alhaurin
0 : 0 Torremolinos
27 Mar
Atletico de Porcuna
0 : 1 Alhaurin
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17 Apr
Alhaurin
2 : 0 CD Alhaurino
03 Apr
Alhaurin
0 : 0 Torremolinos
20 Mar
Alhaurin
2 : 1 Torre del Mar
06 Mar
Alhaurin
0 : 0 Jaen
20 Feb
Alhaurin
2 : 0 UD San Pedro
Page 1 of 4
River Melilla
(Away) 19 May
UD San Pedro
3 : 2 River Melilla
11 May
River Melilla
0 : 3 Antequera
04 May
Torremolinos
5 : 0 River Melilla
01 May
River Melilla
2 : 5 Loja
27 Apr
River Melilla
1 : 5 Alhaurin
Page 1 of 6
19 May
UD San Pedro
3 : 2 River Melilla
04 May
Torremolinos
5 : 0 River Melilla
13 Apr
El Palo
4 : 1 River Melilla
31 Mar
CP Almeria
3 : 0 River Melilla
03 Mar
Huetor Tajar
4 : 1 River Melilla
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malaga B | 38 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 107:34 | 90 |
| 2 | Antequera | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 70:38 | 75 |
| 3 | Almeria B | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 61:36 | 71 |
| 4 | Huetor Tajar | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 73:48 | 71 |
| 5 | Motril | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 71:43 | 70 |
| 6 | Loja | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 63:41 | 66 |
| 7 | Rincon | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 49:52 | 57 |
| 8 | El Palo | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 64:57 | 56 |
| 9 | Martos | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 57:54 | 53 |
| 10 | Guadix | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 47:51 | 51 |
| 11 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 41:51 | 48 |
| 12 | Maracena | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 50:54 | 46 |
| 13 | UD San Pedro | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 42:49 | 45 |
| 14 | Atarfe Industrial | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 42:59 | 45 |
| 15 | Velez | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 44:64 | 44 |
| 16 | Huetor Vega | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 45:55 | 44 |
| 17 | River Melilla | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 47:67 | 40 |
| 18 | CD Alhaurino | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 37:67 | 31 |
| 19 | Dos Hermanas | 38 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 48:88 | 28 |
| 20 | Alhaurin | 38 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 39:89 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)
