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Ali CSC vs Al Reef Prediction & H2H Stats

Bahrain Bahrain

Bahrain Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

83' Event
88' Event

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Ali CSC
15%
Draws
36%
Al Reef
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ali CSC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Reef haven't matched Ali CSC's recent run of results.
  • Ali CSC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Ali CSC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ali CSC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Ali CSC Clean Sheet 15%
Al Reef Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ali CSC Al Reef
Matches Played 31 13
Wins 9 3
Draws 6 2
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.16 0.92
Goals Conceded 1.71 2.54
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 17, 2023 Bahrain Cup
Ali CSC vs Al Reef
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ali CSC 84 / 100
Al Reef 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ali CSC Al Reef

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ali CSC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Reef's defensive record shows goals conceded in 92% of 13 matches.

Ali CSC's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Al Reef registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ali CSC VS Al Reef
1.38 Goals Scored 1.33
1.75 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Ali CSC

(Home)
09 Jun
Al Hala
1 : 2
Ali CSC
04 Jun
Ali CSC
0 : 1
Bahrain SC
31 May
Ali CSC
0 : 0
Isa Town
26 May
Ali CSC
0 : 2
Al Muharraq
22 May
Al Khalidiyah
1 : 0
Ali CSC
Page 1 of 7

Al Reef

(Away)
12 Jan
Isa Town
3 : 2
Al Reef
02 Feb
Al Reef
1 : 6
Al Khalidiyah
25 Jan
Umm Al Hassam
0 : 1
Al Reef
24 Jan
Al Reef
0 : 5
Manama Club
17 Jan
Al Hidd
4 : 0
Al Reef
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Shabbab 5 4 1 0 14:5 13
2 Al Khalidiyah 5 3 2 0 20:4 11
3 East Riffa 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
4 Umm Al Hassam 4 2 0 2 4:14 6
5 Tadamun Buri 5 1 0 4 4:10 3
6 Al Ittifaq 4 0 1 3 5:9 1
Promotion - Bahrain Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manama Club 5 4 1 0 15:3 13
2 Al Hidd 5 3 1 1 8:1 10
3 Bouri 5 2 1 2 6:9 7
4 Ali CSC 5 2 0 3 8:9 6
5 Al Hala 5 2 0 3 4:7 6
6 Al Reef 5 0 1 4 1:13 1
Promotion - Bahrain Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Riffa 5 3 2 0 16:6 11
2 Malkia 5 3 1 1 10:4 10
3 Al Budaiya 5 3 1 1 9:9 10
4 Al Najma 5 3 0 2 10:10 9
5 Sitra 4 0 0 4 3:10 0
6 Al Ittihad 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - Bahrain Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Muharraq 5 5 0 0 17:3 15
2 Busaiteen 5 3 1 1 10:5 10
3 Al Ahli 5 2 0 3 10:10 6
4 Isa Town 5 1 1 3 4:8 4
5 Bahrain SC 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
6 Qalali 4 1 0 3 4:18 3
Promotion - Bahrain Cup (Play Offs)