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Aliados Lordelo vs Amarante FC

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aliados Lordelo play Amarante FC in the Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012. It looks like a close match. Recently, Aliados Lordelo averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. Amarante FC averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. In past meetings, Aliados Lordelo won 0, Amarante FC won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 5, 2012 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Aliados Lordelo and 1.18 for Amarante FC. This points to a Amarante FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Aliados Lordelo
6%
Draws
90%
Amarante FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Amarante FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Amarante FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Aliados Lordelo.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Amarante FC.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Aliados Lordelo Clean Sheet 20%
Amarante FC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aliados Lordelo Amarante FC
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 18
Draws 4 9
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2012 Second Division - Zona Centro
Aliados Lordelo vs Amarante FC
2:2
Sep 25, 2011 Second Division - Zona Centro
Amarante FC vs Aliados Lordelo
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aliados Lordelo 10 / 100
Amarante FC 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aliados Lordelo Amarante FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AMA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aliados Lordelo scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Amarante FC let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Aliados Lordelo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Amarante FC lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Amarante FC
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tondela30196549:2263
2SC Espinho30195650:3262
3Operario30157834:2652
4Boavista301551043:3150
5Amarante FC301310748:3049
6Sao Joao de Ver301541143:4649
7Gondomar301351227:3144
8Cinfaes301271135:4043
9Coimbroes30915630:3142
10Anadia301171245:4240
11Padroense301161347:5039
12Aliados Lordelo301071341:4037
13Oliv. Bairro30771634:5028
14SC Angrense30581736:4923
15Paredes30651930:5023
16FC Madalena30561932:5421