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Aliaga vs Aksaray Bld. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig White Group
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aliaga host Aksaray Bld. in the 2. Lig White Group. This one's hard to separate. Aksaray Bld. have shipped 1.39 goals a game lately, while Aliaga have conceded 1.58 and scored 2. Head-to-head, Aliaga have won 0 to Aksaray Bld.'s 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.81) point toward Aliaga. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Aliaga
20%
Draws
24%
Aksaray Bld.
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aliaga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aliaga lately — more wins on the board than Aksaray Bld..
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular 2. Lig White Group form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Aliaga Clean Sheet 11%
Aksaray Bld. Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aliaga Aksaray Bld.
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 17 8
Draws 5 11
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 2 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 2. Lig Red Group
Aksaray Bld. vs Aliaga
1:1
Dec 16, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
Aliaga vs Aksaray Bld.
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aliaga 29 / 100
Aksaray Bld. 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aliaga Aksaray Bld.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aliaga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aliaga's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Aksaray Bld. let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Aliaga remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aliaga VS Aksaray Bld.
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aliaga

(Home)
10 Oct
Aliaga
1 : 0
Menemenspor
03 Oct
Erbaaspor
2 : 4
Aliaga
27 Sept
Aliaga
2 : 1
Sanliurfaspor
19 Sept
Elazigspor
5 : 0
Aliaga
13 Sept
Aliaga
2 : 0
Isparta 32 Spor
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Aksaray Bld.

(Away)
10 Oct
Sebat Spor Kulubu
1 : 1
Aksaray Bld.
04 Oct
Aksaray Bld.
0 : 1
Ankaraspor
27 Sept
Musspor
3 : 2
Aksaray Bld.
20 Sept
Aksaray Bld.
1 : 1
Inegol Kafkas
13 Sept
Aksaray Bld.
3 : 0
Kastamonuspor
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Musspor 6 5 1 0 16:7 16
2 Aliaga 6 5 0 1 13:9 15
3 Elazigspor 6 4 1 1 15:4 13
4 Guzide Gebzespor 6 3 3 0 9:5 12
5 Corluspor 6 3 1 2 13:8 10
6 Inegol Kafkas 6 3 1 2 11:8 10
7 Isparta 32 Spor 6 3 1 2 11:10 10
8 Sanliurfaspor 6 2 3 1 10:9 9
9 Menemenspor 6 3 0 3 7:8 9
10 Erbaaspor 6 2 1 3 14:14 7
11 Soma Spor 5 2 1 2 8:10 7
12 Aksaray Bld. 6 1 3 2 10:9 6
13 Ankaraspor 6 2 0 4 4:8 6
14 Kastamonuspor 6 2 0 4 4:14 3
15 Sebat Spor Kulubu 5 0 2 3 7:11 2
16 Arnavutkoy Bl. 6 0 0 6 4:14 0
17 Hatayspor 6 1 1 4 2:7 -2
18 Adanademirspor 6 2 1 3 6:9 -41
Promotion - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs 2026/2027 (Main)