Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aliaga vs Menemenspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig White Group
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Arslan A.
Penalty Missed
39'
Fansa E.
39'
Fansa E.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Lig White Group game between Aliaga and Menemenspor finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aliaga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Aliaga
15%
Draws
36%
Menemenspor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aliaga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aliaga come out ahead of Menemenspor on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular 2. Lig White Group form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Aliaga have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Aliaga Clean Sheet 11%
Menemenspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aliaga Menemenspor
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 17 13
Draws 7 2
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 2. Lig White Group
Aliaga vs Menemenspor
1:0
Apr 12, 2026 2. Lig Red Group
Aliaga vs Menemenspor
5:0
Dec 12, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
Menemenspor vs Aliaga
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aliaga Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarikaya M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Menemenspor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aliaga 29 / 100
Menemenspor 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aliaga Menemenspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aliaga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aliaga found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (33 games).

Menemenspor has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Aliaga remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aliaga VS Menemenspor
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aliaga

(Home)
03 Oct
Erbaaspor
2 : 4
Aliaga
27 Sept
Aliaga
2 : 1
Sanliurfaspor
19 Sept
Elazigspor
5 : 0
Aliaga
13 Sept
Aliaga
2 : 0
Isparta 32 Spor
06 Sept
Arnavutkoy Bl.
1 : 4
Aliaga
Page 1 of 7

Menemenspor

(Away)
03 Oct
Menemenspor
2 : 0
Adanademirspor
27 Sept
Sebat Spor Kulubu
0 : 1
Menemenspor
19 Sept
Menemenspor
3 : 0
Ankaraspor
13 Sept
Musspor
4 : 0
Menemenspor
06 Sept
Menemenspor
1 : 3
Inegol Kafkas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Musspor 5 4 1 0 15:7 13
2 Aliaga 5 4 0 1 12:9 12
3 Elazigspor 5 3 1 1 12:4 10
4 Corluspor 5 3 1 1 11:5 10
5 Guzide Gebzespor 5 2 3 0 7:4 9
6 Menemenspor 5 3 0 2 7:7 9
7 Inegol Kafkas 5 2 1 2 9:7 7
8 Erbaaspor 5 2 1 2 13:12 7
9 Soma Spor 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
10 Isparta 32 Spor 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
11 Sanliurfaspor 5 1 3 1 7:7 6
12 Ankaraspor 5 2 0 3 3:6 6
13 Aksaray Bld. 5 1 2 2 9:8 5
14 Kastamonuspor 5 2 0 3 4:13 3
15 Sebat Spor Kulubu 4 0 1 3 6:10 1
16 Arnavutkoy Bl. 5 0 0 5 2:11 0
17 Hatayspor 5 1 1 3 2:4 -2
18 Adanademirspor 5 1 1 3 3:9 -44
Promotion - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs 2026/2027 (Main)