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Aliaga vs Musspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig White Group
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aliaga host Musspor in the 2. Lig White Group. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Aliaga at 2.03 goals for, 1.41 against; Musspor at 2.48 for, 1.1 against. Past meetings favor Aliaga slightly — 1-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 4, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.94, favoring Musspor. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Aliaga
15%
Draws
42%
Musspor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aliaga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Musspor average 2.48 goals a game right now, well clear of Aliaga's 2.03.
  • Musspor are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Aliaga Clean Sheet 10%
Musspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aliaga Musspor
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 20 20
Draws 4 5
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 2.03 2.48
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 2. Lig Play Offs
Musspor vs Aliaga
1:0
Apr 30, 2026 2. Lig Play Offs
Aliaga vs Musspor
1:1
Feb 14, 2026 2. Lig Red Group
Aliaga vs Musspor
4:0
Oct 5, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
Musspor vs Aliaga
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aliaga 22 / 100
Musspor 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aliaga Musspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Musspor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aliaga scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Musspor has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Aliaga has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aliaga VS Musspor
2.13 Goals Scored 2.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Aliaga

(Home)
01 Nov
Inegol Kafkas
3 : 2
Aliaga
27 Oct
Pazarspor
0 : 1
Aliaga
24 Oct
Aliaga
2 : 1
Aksaray Bld.
18 Oct
Soma Spor
1 : 2
Aliaga
10 Oct
Aliaga
1 : 0
Menemenspor
Page 1 of 7

Musspor

(Away)
31 Oct
Musspor
7 : 1
Adanademirspor
27 Oct
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
1 : 2
Musspor
24 Oct
Sebat Spor Kulubu
3 : 2
Musspor
18 Oct
Musspor
4 : 2
Ankaraspor
10 Oct
Musspor
1 : 0
Kastamonuspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elazigspor 9 7 1 1 27:7 22
2 Musspor 9 7 1 1 29:13 22
3 Guzide Gebzespor 9 6 3 0 17:8 21
4 Aliaga 9 7 0 2 19:14 21
5 Inegol Kafkas 9 6 1 2 17:11 19
6 Sanliurfaspor 9 5 3 1 20:11 18
7 Corluspor 9 5 2 2 17:9 17
8 Erbaaspor 9 4 1 4 19:15 13
9 Menemenspor 9 4 1 4 11:10 13
10 Isparta 32 Spor 9 3 2 4 16:20 11
11 Aksaray Bld. 9 2 3 4 15:14 9
12 Sebat Spor Kulubu 9 2 3 4 14:15 9
13 Ankaraspor 9 3 0 6 11:16 9
14 Soma Spor 9 2 2 5 10:18 8
15 Kastamonuspor 9 2 1 6 7:26 4
16 Arnavutkoy Bl. 9 0 0 9 4:21 -3
17 Hatayspor 9 1 1 7 4:17 -5
18 Adanademirspor 9 2 1 6 7:19 -44
Promotion - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs 2026/2027 (Main)