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Alianca vs Zumbi

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano 2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Baiano N.

AI Match Summary

The Alagoano 2 2024 game between Alianca and Zumbi finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zumbi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Alianca
30%
Draws
37%
Zumbi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zumbi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Zumbi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Alianca's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Alianca Clean Sheet 15%
Zumbi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianca Zumbi
Matches Played 25 37
Wins 7 21
Draws 3 8
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.4 1.49
Goals Conceded 1.44 0.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Alagoano 2
Zumbi vs Alianca
1:0
May 10, 2026 Alagoano 2
Alianca vs Zumbi
0:0
Apr 18, 2026 Alagoano 2
Alianca vs Zumbi
1:1
Sep 17, 2025 Alagoano 2
Zumbi vs Alianca
2:1
Oct 13, 2024 Alagoano 2
Alianca vs Zumbi
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alianca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Zumbi Compare

Top Goalscorer Baiano N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianca 75 / 100
Zumbi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianca Zumbi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alianca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianca went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Alianca scored in 52% of their last 25 games.

Zumbi has conceded goals in 41% of their last 37 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Alianca VS Zumbi
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianca

(Home)
17 May
Zumbi
1 : 0
Alianca
10 May
Alianca
0 : 0
Zumbi
02 May
Alianca
9 : 0
Jacioba
26 Apr
Sao Domingos AL
2 : 6
Alianca
22 Apr
Alianca
1 : 6
Sporting FC
Page 1 of 5

Zumbi

(Away)
31 May
Sporting FC
2 : 2
Zumbi
24 May
Zumbi
0 : 2
Sporting FC
17 May
Zumbi
1 : 0
Alianca
10 May
Alianca
0 : 0
Zumbi
02 May
Miguelense
0 : 1
Zumbi
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zumbi 9 8 1 0 17:3 25
2 Guarany Alagoano 9 6 2 1 16:8 20
3 Igaci 9 6 1 2 19:3 19
4 Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense 9 5 2 2 13:5 17
5 Dimensao Capela 9 4 1 4 13:8 13
6 Alianca 9 3 1 5 7:7 10
7 Miguelense 9 2 3 4 5:8 9
8 FF Sport 9 1 4 4 5:11 7
9 Jacioba 9 2 0 7 7:17 6
10 Sao Domingos AL 9 0 1 8 2:34 1
Promotion - Alagoano 2 2024 (Play Offs)