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Aliance vs Bebri

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aliance in this Latvian Cup 2021 tie, finishing 4-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Aliance
15%
Draws
21%
Bebri
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aliance

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Bebri haven't matched Aliance's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Aliance taking it.
  • Aliance have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Aliance, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 36%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Aliance Clean Sheet 10%
Bebri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aliance Bebri
Matches Played 18 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 0 4
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 3.06 1
Goals Conceded 2.5 3.33
Expected Goals (xG) 3.44 2.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2021 Latvian Cup
Aliance vs Bebri
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aliance 83 / 100
Bebri 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aliance Bebri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aliance Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bebri conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Aliance scored in 72% of their last 18 outings.

Recent resilience: Aliance stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aliance VS Bebri
3.88 Goals Scored 1.71
2.5 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 86%

Recent Form & Match History

Aliance

(Home)
19 Jun
Marupe
4 : 2
Aliance
30 May
Valka
1 : 5
Aliance
31 May
Aliance
0 : 6
JFK Ventspils
17 May
Valka
1 : 9
Aliance
05 May
Talsi
1 : 5
Aliance
Page 1 of 4

Bebri

(Away)
19 May
Upesciema Warriors
3 : 1
Bebri
04 May
Bebri
3 : 2
JFC Viola
27 May
Sports United/Cesis
4 : 1
Bebri
22 May
Beitar
4 : 1
Bebri
04 Jul
Aliance
4 : 2
Bebri
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Kadaga/Ostas -
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Preilu BJSS -
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FK Smiltene -
RTU 1
JFC Viola 2
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Riga United -
Sigulda -
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DSVK Traktors -
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FK Liepaja -
Spartaks Jurmala -
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BFC Daugavpils -
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Upesciems -
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AFA Olaine -
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Speks -
Jekabpils SC -
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Grobina -
Kalupe -
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Kengaroos -
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Dinamo Riga -
Saldus SS/Leevon -
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Fk Jurnieks Riga -
Alberts JDFS -
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SK Babite 3
Dobele Allegro 0
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Skanste -
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Gauja -
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Tente -
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RFS -
FK Metta -
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Marupe -
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Talsi -
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FK Auda Riga -
Caramba -
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FK Alberts -
Lielupe -
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Valka -
Riga FC -
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Kuivizu Spartaks -
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FK Limbazi -
Aliance -
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Bebri -
Tukums 2000 -
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Bauskas / Memele -
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Livani -
Salaspils FK -
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Rezekne -
Super Nova -
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Sports United/Cesis -
FK Varaklani -
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FK Madona Kvarcs -
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Latgols / Ludza -
Albatroz -
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Plavinas -
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FK Karosta -
1/64-finals
Kadaga/Ostas 2
Preilu BJSS 1
TBD -
FK Smiltene -
JFC Viola 5
Riga United 0
Sigulda 4
DSVK Traktors 3
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FK Liepaja -
Spartaks Jurmala -
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BFC Daugavpils -
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Upesciems -
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AFA Olaine 0
Speks 2
Jekabpils SC -
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Grobina -
Kalupe 4
Kengaroos 5
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Dinamo Riga -
Saldus SS/Leevon -
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Fk Jurnieks Riga -
Alberts JDFS -
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SK Babite -
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Skanste 5
Gauja 1
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Tente -
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RFS -
FK Metta -
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Marupe 5
Talsi 3
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FK Auda Riga -
Caramba 2
FK Alberts 0
Lielupe 1
Valka 3
Riga FC -
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Kuivizu Spartaks 0
FK Limbazi 10
Aliance 4
Bebri 2
Tukums 2000 -
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Bauskas / Memele 1
Livani 5
Salaspils FK -
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Rezekne -
Super Nova -
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Sports United/Cesis -
FK Varaklani -
TBD -
FK Madona Kvarcs 1
Latgols / Ludza 3
Albatroz -
TBD -
Plavinas 0
FK Karosta 1
1/32-finals
Kadaga/Ostas 0
FK Smiltene 6
JFC Viola 5
Sigulda 2
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FK Liepaja -
Spartaks Jurmala -
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BFC Daugavpils -
Valmiera -
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Upesciems 2
Speks 4
Jekabpils SC 0
Grobina 2
Kengaroos 0
Dinamo Riga 2
Saldus SS/Leevon 2
Fk Jurnieks Riga 0
Alberts JDFS 1
SK Babite 0
Skanste 4
Tente 0
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RFS -
FK Metta -
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Marupe 1
FK Auda Riga 4
Caramba 11
Valka 0
Riga FC -
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FK Limbazi 4
Aliance 0
Tukums 2000 4
Livani 0
Salaspils FK 0
Rezekne 7
Super Nova 6
Sports United/Cesis 0
FK Varaklani 0
Latgols / Ludza 5
Albatroz 5
FK Karosta 1
1/16-finals
FK Smiltene 2
JFC Viola 0
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
Valmiera -
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Speks 4
Grobina 2
Dinamo Riga 9
Saldus SS/Leevon 0
Alberts JDFS 1
Skanste 2
TBD -
RFS -
FK Metta -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga 3
Caramba 1
Riga FC -
TBD -
FK Limbazi 0
Tukums 2000 2
Rezekne 3
Super Nova 1
Latgols / Ludza 0
Albatroz 1
1/8-finals
FK Smiltene 0
FK Liepaja 3
Spartaks Jurmala 0
BFC Daugavpils 1
Valmiera -
TBD -
Speks 0
Dinamo Riga 2
Skanste 0
RFS 2
FK Metta 1
FK Auda Riga 3
Riga FC 3
Tukums 2000 1
Rezekne 0
Albatroz 3
Quarter-finals
FK Liepaja 1
BFC Daugavpils 0
Valmiera 5
Dinamo Riga 0
RFS 4
FK Auda Riga 0
Riga FC 3
Albatroz 0
Semi-finals
FK Liepaja 2
Valmiera 0
RFS 3
Riga FC 1
Final
FK Liepaja 0
RFS 1