Sport Picks

Latvia

Latvian Cup 2024

FK Limbazi

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aliance play FK Limbazi in the Latvian Cup 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Aliance averaged 3.06 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. FK Limbazi averaged 2.17 goals scored and 3.89 conceded. In past meetings, Aliance won 1, FK Limbazi won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 18, 2024 ended 20:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.56 for Aliance and 2.56 for FK Limbazi. This points to a FK Limbazi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Aliance

15%

Draws

46%

FK Limbazi

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Limbazi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Aliance picked up more points recently compared to FK Limbazi.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.56 vs 2.56 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 92%

Over 2.5 Goals 84%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%

Aliance Clean Sheet 10%

FK Limbazi Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 83%

Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aliance	FK Limbazi
Matches Played	18	18
Wins	7	8
Draws	0	0
Losses	11	10
Goals Scored	3.06	2.17
Goals Conceded	2.5	3.89
Expected Goals (xG)	4.25	3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2024 Latvian Cup

Aliance vs FK Limbazi

Possession: 54% - 47% Cards: 2 - 0

20:0

May 21, 2022 Latvian Cup

Aliance vs FK Limbazi

Possession: 47% - 56% Cards: 1 - 4

1:4

Jul 17, 2021 Latvian Cup

FK Limbazi vs Aliance

Possession: 46% - 48% Cards: 2 - 1

4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aliance 37 / 100

FK Limbazi 43 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aliance FK Limbazi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FK Limbazi or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26%

3.23

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +7.5%

1.28

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Aliance attacking → ← attacking FK Limbazi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aliance scored in 72% of their last 18 games.

FK Limbazi let in goals in 76% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 9.67 goals.

Aliance went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FK Limbazi lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 24

4.25 Goals expected (xG) 3.13

2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88