Sport Picks

Latvia

Latvian Cup 2023

Aliance

4 - 0

Kadaga/Ostas

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aliance in this Latvian Cup 2023 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%

Aliance

15%

Draws

21%

Kadaga/Ostas

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aliance

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence

Aliance have won more games recently than Kadaga/Ostas.
Model gives Aliance a 64% chance of winning this.
Aliance have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Aliance, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 89%

Over 3.5 Goals 65%

Over 4.5 Goals 29%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

Aliance Clean Sheet 10%

Kadaga/Ostas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aliance	Kadaga/Ostas
Matches Played	18	6
Wins	7	2
Draws	0	0
Losses	11	4
Goals Scored	3.06	1.5
Goals Conceded	2.5	3.17
Expected Goals (xG)	2.33	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2023 Latvian Cup

Aliance vs Kadaga/Ostas

4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aliance 83 / 100

Kadaga/Ostas 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aliance Kadaga/Ostas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aliance Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kadaga/Ostas let in goals in 100% of their last 6 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Aliance scored in 72% of their last 18 games.

Aliance went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aliance VS Kadaga/Ostas

1.5 Goals Scored 1.5

2.5 Goals Conceded 3.17

88% Over 1.5 100%

75% Over 2.5 100%

63% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Aliance

(Home)

19 Jun

Marupe

4 : 2

Aliance

30 May

Valka

1 : 5

Aliance

31 May

Aliance

0 : 6

JFK Ventspils

17 May

Valka

1 : 9

Aliance

05 May

Talsi

1 : 5

Aliance

Page 1 of 4

Kadaga/Ostas

(Away)

19 May

Riga United

3 : 2

Kadaga/Ostas

27 May

Aliance

4 : 0

Kadaga/Ostas

12 May

Kadaga/Ostas

2 : 1

Namejs

06 May

DSVK Traktors

4 : 3

Kadaga/Ostas

18 Jul

Kadaga/Ostas

0 : 6

FK Smiltene

Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

BFC Daugavpils -

TBD -

FK Auda Riga -

Kekava-Auda -

TBD -

FK Alberts -

Iecava -

TBD -

Rigas Futbola Skola -

Augsdaugavas -

TBD -

Betsafe -

TBD -

Saldus SS/Leevon -

TBD -

Riga FC -

FK Metta -

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

Aliance -

TBD -

Kadaga/Ostas 2

Namejs 1

TBD -

Dinamo Riga -

Valka -

TBD -

Marupe -

TBD -

Skanste -

DSVK Traktors -

TBD -

Upesciema Warriors -

TBD -

FK Smiltene -

Beitar -

TBD -

Madona/BJSS -

TBD -

Lielupe 3

FK Varaklani 0

Valmiera -

TBD -

Super Nova -

TBD -

Sigulda 2

Sports United/Cesis 3

TBD -

Bebri -

TBD -

Grobina -

AFA Olaine -

TBD -

JFK Ventspils -

TBD -

Tukums 2000 -

Jelgava -

TBD -

RFS -

Salaspils FK -

TBD -

Jekabpils SC -

Plavinas -

TBD -

FK Limbazi -

Ogre United -

TBD -

LSPA -

Riga United -

TBD -

RSU -

FK Union -

TBD -

Dobele Allegro 1

FK Ludza 0

TBD -

Alberts JDFS -

Rezekne -

TBD -

RTU 0

JFC Viola 3

TBD -

JFK Daugava -

1/64-finals

BFC Daugavpils -

TBD -

FK Auda Riga -

Kekava-Auda 5

FK Alberts 1

Iecava 0

Rigas Futbola Skola 2

Augsdaugavas 1

Betsafe 2

TBD -

Saldus SS/Leevon -

TBD -

Riga FC -

FK Metta -

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

Aliance 4

Kadaga/Ostas 0

TBD -

Dinamo Riga -

Valka 0

Marupe 7

TBD -

Skanste -

DSVK Traktors 0

Upesciema Warriors 1

TBD -

FK Smiltene -

Beitar -

TBD -

Madona/BJSS 0

Lielupe 1

Valmiera -

TBD -

Super Nova -

TBD -

Sports United/Cesis 4

Bebri 1

TBD -

Grobina -

AFA Olaine -

TBD -

JFK Ventspils -

TBD -

Tukums 2000 -

Jelgava -

TBD -

RFS -

Salaspils FK 1

Jekabpils SC 3

Plavinas 0

FK Limbazi 3

Ogre United 2

LSPA 1

Riga United 3

RSU 2

FK Union 4

Dobele Allegro 1

TBD -

Alberts JDFS -

Rezekne -

TBD -

JFC Viola 3

JFK Daugava 4

1/32-finals

BFC Daugavpils -

TBD -

FK Auda Riga -

Kekava-Auda 2

Rigas Futbola Skola 4

Betsafe 1

Saldus SS/Leevon 0

TBD -

Riga FC -

FK Metta -

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

Aliance 0

Dinamo Riga 2

Marupe 2

Skanste 0

Upesciema Warriors 0

FK Smiltene 2

Beitar 5

Lielupe 3

Valmiera -

TBD -

Super Nova -

TBD -

Sports United/Cesis 0

Grobina 7

AFA Olaine 4

JFK Ventspils 0

TBD -

Tukums 2000 -

Jelgava -

TBD -

RFS -

Jekabpils SC -

FK Limbazi -

Ogre United 4

Riga United 0

FK Union 0

Alberts JDFS 10

Rezekne 4

JFK Daugava 1

1/16-finals

BFC Daugavpils -

TBD -

FK Auda Riga -

Rigas Futbola Skola 1

Betsafe 2

TBD -

Riga FC -

FK Metta -

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

Dinamo Riga 0

Marupe 11

FK Smiltene 1

Beitar 3

Valmiera -

TBD -

Super Nova -

TBD -

Grobina 2

AFA Olaine 3

TBD -

Tukums 2000 -

Jelgava -

TBD -

RFS -

Jekabpils SC 3

Ogre United 1

Alberts JDFS 8

Rezekne 0

1/8-finals

BFC Daugavpils 1

FK Auda Riga 4

Betsafe 0

Riga FC 5

FK Metta 2

FK Liepaja 3

Marupe 0

Beitar 1

Valmiera 2

Super Nova 0

AFA Olaine 1

Tukums 2000 3

Jelgava 0

RFS 3

Jekabpils SC 0

Alberts JDFS 6

Quarter-finals

FK Auda Riga 0

Riga FC 4

FK Liepaja 7

Beitar 0

Valmiera 0

Tukums 2000 1

RFS 4

Alberts JDFS 1

Semi-finals

Riga FC 2

FK Liepaja 1

Tukums 2000 1

RFS 3

Final

Riga FC 2

RFS 1

Aliance vs Kadaga/Ostas

Latvia

Aliance

Kadaga/Ostas

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Aliance

Kadaga/Ostas

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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